Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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902
FNUS75 KTFX 121137
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for American Bar Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
537 AM MDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Considerable high cloud-cover will continue to stream across the
region today but dry conditions prevail with temperatures several
degrees warmer than yesterday. General winds will be from the
south, becoming more southwesterly and breezy this afternoon, then
diminishing and turning to the south and southeast tonight. On
Thursday, a Pacific weather system moves into the region with a
cold front crossing the area in the afternoon. The risk for rain
showers increases through the day Thursday with a period of rain
moving through with the cold frontal passage.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....57-62.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 20
                    to 25 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........87  87  85  84  78  81  77  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  47  50  53  55  57  59  57
RH..............53  45  39  37  34  33  33  33
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  20  20  20  20  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.5 6.0 5.0 4.5
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  10  15  15  20  25  20  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................5 percent.
Min temperature.....34-39.
Max humidity........63-68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late in the evening.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77  76  63  54  55  48  29  53  73  77  72  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............56  53  47  45  44  43  41  40  40  40  39  39
RH..............37  41  48  55  59  61  65  66  66  65  67  67
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.15  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A period of
                    rain showers likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....51-56.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late in the morning, then shifting to
                    the west 20 to 25 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  77  77  83  83  83  79  79  79  83  83  83
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............38  37  39  41  45  49  50  51  51  51  49  46
RH..............67  66  67  67  59  55  51  47  45  43  42  42
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25

$$
Forecaster...Hoenisch
Requested by...Matthew Gingery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505870.0/TFX
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.gingery@usda.gov