727
FNUS75 KTFX 091219
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Limekiln rx...BLM
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
519 AM MST Thu Jan 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on January 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Today it will be dry all day with winds of 10 - 15 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph in the morning. This afternoon winds will be 5 - 10
mph with gusts up to 15 mph. Tonight it will be dry with winds of
10 - 15 mph with isolated gusts up to 30 mph. Tomorrow it will be
dry and windy with winds speeds of 10 - 15 mph in the morning
increasing to 15 - 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph in the
afternoon. Tomorrow afternoon there is a 60% chance for wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....26-31.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph shifting to the west
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  79  73  61  57  51  41  35  26  23  18  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............28  27  27  27  27  28  28  28  28  27  25  23
RH..............87  88  86  89  90  86  86  83  82  64  64  64
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  10  10
Haines index....M   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....16-21.
Max humidity........59-64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 10 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  23  20  27  28  30  23  18  11  29  35  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............21  20  20  19  19  20  20  21  20  19  22  23
RH..............64  64  64  64  64  64  64  60  60  60  60  60
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  30  30  25  20  15  15  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15
Haines index....3   3   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 10 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....36-41.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph shifting to the west around 20
                    mph with gusts to around 40 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  16  15  24  40  56  56  56  68  68  68  83
Weather cov.....                                            CHC
Weather type....                                            SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............24  26  27  28  32  35  36  37  37  37  37  36
RH..............60  60  60  60  60  60  61  63  64  64  63  63
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  30  30  30  40
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  25  25
Haines index....M   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Gesell
Requested by...Parker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500044.4/TFX
.DELDT 01/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cparker@blm.gov,tfx.ops@noaa.gov