631
FNUS75 KTFX 161426
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Elk Creek Piles Unit 12...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
826 AM MDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Expect some clearing skies later this morning. Any precip this
morning will just be a sprinkle. Dry conditions expected during
the day on Friday, however it will be windier than it has been,
especially at ridge tops. Light rain/snow on Friday night, could
get about 1 inch of snowfall. It is looking mostly dry by Sat
afternoon thru Sun morning, then the next weather system arrives
by Sun evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy this morning. (65 percent).
                    Partly cloudy this afternoon. (40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  60  60  50  50  45  40  40  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............36  45  49  51  53  54  55  55  54
RH..............68  55  48  45  45  43  44  44  47
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  W   NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent)
                    then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....29-34.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to
                    15 to 25 mph with gusts to around
                    45 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph increasing to
                    30 to 40 mph overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11  8   11  18  24  42  53  32  47  43  35  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  46  38  37  35  34  36  34  34  34  34  34
RH..............54  62  71  71  71  71  71  71  71  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   10  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.15  20  25  30  30  35  40  40  45  45  45  45
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  20  20  20  25  25  30  30  30  30  30  30

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain in
                    the late afternoon. Windy.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....52-57.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 45 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 30 to 40 mph.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  90  82  68  52  40  53  53  53  53  53  53
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............32  33  35  40  47  50  51  53  54  54  52  50
RH..............69  71  69  56  49  45  44  43  42  43  46  50
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.45  45  40  35  35  35  30  30  30  30  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.25  25  30  30  30  30  35  35  40  40  40  35

$$
Forecaster...Brusda
Requested by...noelle zinn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523616.1/TFX
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL noelle.zinn@usda.gov