630
FNUS75 KTFX 071642
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Crow Creek Slim Sam Rx...Townsend RD, USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
942 AM MST Fri Mar 7 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on March 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Monday will be mild and windy. A Canadian cold front will bring
breezy to gusty southwest winds in the morning, shifting winds to
the west between the late morning through mid afternoon.
Sustained winds of 20 mph with gusts of up to 40 mph will be
possible. There`s a 40% chance for gusts of 55 mph along the cold
front passage. Winds will decrease Monday night and Tuesday, and
there is a 40% chance for snow on Tuesday.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................Less than 5%.
Max temperature.....47-52.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 20 mph shifting to the
                    west late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 mph
                    decreasing to 30 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to west 30 to
                    35 mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then decreasing to 20 to 25 mph late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  33  33  33  48  48  48  68  68  68  74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............35  37  40  43  46  47  48  49  48  47  45
RH..............48  46  44  41  38  36  34  34  35  38  41
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15
20 FT wind gust.35  35  35  35  40  40  40  40  40  40  30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.5 2.0 4.0 5.5 6.5 6.5 6.0 5.5 4.5 3.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.20  25  30  35  35  35  30  25  25  20  20

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................Less than 5%.
Min temperature.....29-34.
Max humidity........57-62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds around 15 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph decreasing to around 5 mph early in the
                    evening, then shifting to the southwest
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  74  71  71  71  79  79  79  75  75  75  72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  39  37  36  36  36  35  35  34  33  32  32
RH..............45  50  54  57  58  59  60  60  60  61  62  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.30  30  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of snow
                    late in the morning.
CWR.................5%.
Max temperature.....43-48.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph shifting to the west with gusts
                    to around 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  72  69  69  69  61  61  61  72  72  72  73
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Temp............32  33  34  37  40  42  44  45  45  44  43  42
RH..............62  61  59  55  51  47  45  44  44  45  47  49
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Wilson
Requested by...Tyler Mick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505055.0/TFX
.DELDT 03/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyler.mick@usda.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov