Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 081149
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Spot Forecast for dprx...Manatee County Government
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
749 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Abundant moisture and light winds will continue through the week
precluding any fire weather concerns. Daily afternoon showers and
storms expected each day through the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 32.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  34  39  40  41  39  44  52  52
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  30  30  40  40
Temp............82  84  86  88  89  90  91  90  88
RH..............89  84  79  74  72  69  66  66  68
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.3   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.4 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.5 4.3 3.7 3.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7
Dispersion idx..7   13  20  25  30  32  34  33  29
LVORI...........7   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers early in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph shifting to the north 3 to 5
                    mph overnight.
Dispersion index....18 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49  44  47  58  65  62  60  54  47  44  43  43
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  20  20  10  10  10  10  0   10  10  0
Temp............87  85  83  81  79  78  77  77  76  76  76  75
RH..............71  75  79  83  87  89  92  93  94  93  95  96
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   SE  E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NE  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   8   8   6   5   3   3   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..22  13  6   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon
                    shifting to the west around 6 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 5 mph shifting to the west 3 to 6
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  39  35  31  29  27  30  34  38  44  50  55
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20  70  70  70  70
Temp............74  75  77  81  83  85  88  89  90  90  89  87
RH..............97  95  96  91  85  79  74  70  68  68  70  74
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  E   SE  S   SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   5   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   6
Dispersion idx..2   2   3   6   9   14  19  23  27  28  28  25
LVORI...........8   8   8   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Pearce
Requested by...Jared DEBlecourt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517540.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jared.deblecourt@mymanatee.org