593
FNUS72 KTBW 051249
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for HU5 Island...TNC
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
849 AM EDT Tue Aug 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The south to southwest flow will persist today with scattered
to numerous late afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms
expected. The pattern will begin to shift on Wednesday with rather
light and variable winds becoming northeasterly by late afternoon
with more scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
anticipated. Overall, it will remain warm and humid with no fire
weather concerns outside of the showers and thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) in the morning, then
                    becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent) in the
                    afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 3 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 23 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........5      15     25     35     50
Weather cov.....                            SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     40
Temp............82     89     93     94     94
RH..............81     65     55     51     50
20 ft wind......SE 3   SW 3   SW 3   S 3    SE 3
20 ft wind gust.6      7      7      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   2600   4400   5200   5000
Transport wind..S 5    SW 5   SW 5   W 3    NW 3
Dispersion idx..8      15     21     23     21
LVORI...........4      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Numerous showers
                    and scattered thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the southeast
                    4 to 9 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....16 decreasing to 2 in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........60     70     80     65     60     50
Weather cov.....NUMRUS SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).60     40     20     10     0      0
Temp............91     81     79     78     77     77
RH..............57     82     87     92     96     94
20 ft wind......SE 3   E 3    E 2    SE 2   SE 2   NE 1
20 ft wind gust.8      8      6      3      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....3200   900    800    500    600    600
Transport wind..N 3    E 8    SE 9   E 6    E 5    SE 4
Dispersion idx..16     4      2      2      2      1
LVORI...........2      4      6      6      8      8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) in the morning, then
                    becoming partly cloudy (45-55 percent) in the
                    afternoon. Numerous showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 2 mph shifting to the north in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 30.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........30     20     25     35     45     55
Weather cov.....                            NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     70     70
Temp............75     78     86     91     93     92
RH..............99     93     72     61     55     57
20 ft wind......NE 1   NE 1   NE 3   NE 4   NE 5   NE 5
20 ft wind gust.2      3      5      7      8      9
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    1800   3900   5300   3500
Transport wind..E 2    NE 2   N 3    N 4    N 5    NE 7
Dispersion idx..1      2      8      19     30     28
LVORI...........10     6      3      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Close
Requested by...Adam Peterson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519264.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL apeterson@tnc.org