907
FNUS72 KTBW 081011
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for OP-1...U.S. Air Force
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
611 AM EDT Thu May 8 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0707 EDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Ample moisture will remain over the region for the next several days
with no fire weather concerns. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and again on Friday.
No significant fog is expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 6 mph early
                    in the morning, then shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 12 mph shifting to the south 6
                    to 9 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      3 AM   5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM
Sky (%).........57     72     71     71     70     69
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      20     40     60
Temp............68     77     84     90     91     89
RH..............99     82     63     49     44     50
20 ft wind......SE 3   S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6    SW 6
20 ft wind gust.8      10     12     12     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1700   3100   5100   5700   4400
Transport wind..SE 10  S 10   S 9    S 6    SW 6   SW 7
Dispersion idx..8      19     33     41     44     39
LVORI...........7      4      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Showers likely
                    early in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening and overnight.
                    Slight chance of showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 mph shifting to the north early in
                    the evening, then shifting to the east 5 to 8
                    mph late in the evening shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 6 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
Sky (%).........69     68     55     43     30     35
Weather cov.....LIKELY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     40     30     10     0      0
Temp............87     76     73     71     68     67
RH..............55     81     93     95     100    100
20 ft wind......W 5    N 3    E 2    SE 2   SE 2   S 2
20 ft wind gust.8      7      6      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   800    600    600    400    400
Transport wind..W 8    NW 10  N 8    E 7    E 5    SE 5
Dispersion idx..28     4      2      3      2      2
LVORI...........2      4      6      6      9      10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON
Sky (%).........41     46     50     53     56     60
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      30     30     30     70     70
Temp............67     70     80     87     90     89
RH..............100    100    77     59     50     51
20 ft wind......S 2    SW 2   S 5    SW 6   SW 7   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.6      7      9      12     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1000   2400   4500   5800   5100
Transport wind..S 6    S 7    SW 7   SW 7   SW 7   SW 8
Dispersion idx..3      9      21     35     45     51
LVORI...........9      8      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Wynn
Requested by...Joseph Bruner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513320.1/TBW
.DELDT 05/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.bruner@us.af.mil