Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 311231
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Spot Forecast for Area 4 West...U.S. Air Force
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
831 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A breezy easterly flow will continue with some higher dispersions
expected today. There will continue to be enough moisture to keep
relative humidity values above critical levels which will
preclude any red flag concerns. Quick moving light
showers/sprinkles will remain possible.



.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    sprinkles late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....35 increasing to 61 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 79 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 68 early in the afternoon decreasing to 51
                    decreasing to 41 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........17     20     28     31     28
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............72     80     83     83     81
RH..............80     61     53     52     54
20 ft wind......E 9    E 13   E 14   E 14   E 14
20 ft wind gust.16     21     23     24     25
Mix hgt (ft)....800    4300   5100   4500   3600
Transport wind..E 15   E 21   E 18   E 17   E 16
Dispersion idx..35     80     68     51     41
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    sprinkles early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 13 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....30 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........26     21     20     21     26     23
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............79     73     70     69     68     67
RH..............59     73     81     87     92     96
20 ft wind......E 13   E 8    E 6    E 5    NE 3   NE 3
20 ft wind gust.23     17     14     12     9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   500    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 15   E 14   E 12   E 10   E 9    E 9
Dispersion idx..30     9      5      5      4      3
LVORI...........2      3      4      5      6      8

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    sprinkles late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 6 to 13 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 45 late in the morning increasing
                    to 60 late in the morning decreasing to 54.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........20     18     24     28     31     36
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............66     67     77     83     85     84
RH..............98     99     76     61     55     57
20 ft wind......NE 3   NE 3   NE 7   E 9    E 10   E 12
20 ft wind gust.8      9      13     16     18     22
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    2200   3800   4200   3700
Transport wind..NE 9   NE 8   E 13   E 15   E 14   E 15
Dispersion idx..2      8      45     62     52     56
LVORI...........9      8      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Pearce
Requested by...Joseph Bruner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425362.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/31/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.bruner@us.af.mil