Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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Spot Forecast for Crooked Lake WEA - Unit 12...Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
833 AM EST Thu Nov 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and dry conditions are forecast today with a southeast
transport wind. A frontal boundary is expected to push through
the region tonight, facilitating a westerly then eventually a
north-northwest wind towards tomorrow morning. There is a very
low probability of a quick passing sprinkle or shower early
tomorrow morning with the frontal boundary passage. Behind the
front, conditions will begin to dry out, but there are no major
red flag concerns at this time.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....53 decreasing to 29.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........62     61     57     51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............78     82     83     83
RH..............64     55     53     53
20 ft wind......SE 7   SE 8   S 7    S 6
20 ft wind gust.13     13     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   4000   4600   4300
Transport wind..SE 15  S 12   S 8    S 8
Dispersion idx..55     54     48     41
LVORI...........2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest around
                    5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........44     36     21     20     17     22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............77     74     72     70     70     68
RH..............64     73     78     86     88     93
20 ft wind......S 5    S 3    S 3    SW 2   SW 2   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.8      6      7      6      6      7
Mix hgt (ft)....500    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..S 6    S 7    S 8    SW 7   SW 8   SW 8
Dispersion idx..14     0      4      3      3      4
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the north
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 10 mph shifting to the north 13 to 16
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 19 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 30 late in the morning increasing
                    to 45 in the late morning and early afternoon
                    increasing to 49 decreasing to 35 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........34     42     29     13     6      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............68     71     77     80     78     76
RH..............97     92     71     58     53     52
20 ft wind......W 6    W 7    NW 9   NW 10  N 12   N 12
20 ft wind gust.8      12     14     16     17     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    900    2000   2800   3200   3200
Transport wind..W 9    NW 10  N 16   N 15   N 14   N 14
Dispersion idx..5      19     40     48     51     46
LVORI...........7      5      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Flannery
Requested by...Shawn Kelly
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426555.0/TBW
.DELDT 11/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shawn.kelly@myfwc.com