878
FNUS72 KTBW 041230
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Chass 03E...Florida Fish and Wildlife
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
830 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on August 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The southwest to west flow will persist today with scattered
showers and thunderstorms possible from midday through the
afternoon hours. Otherwise, it will remain warm and humid with no
fire weather concerns.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Scattered showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the west
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 10 mph shifting to the west late
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....31 increasing to 48 early in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 34 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........30     35     40     40
Weather cov.....       ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     50     50
Temp............87     91     92     92
RH..............71     63     60     61
20 ft wind......S 3    S 6    SW 7   W 7
20 ft wind gust.8      10     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   3900   4100   3400
Transport wind..S 9    S 9    SW 9   W 10
Dispersion idx..31     48     46     41
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent) late. Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
                    7 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....31 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........50     60     60     40     30     20
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     30     30     20     10     10
Temp............90     86     82     80     78     76
RH..............65     72     82     86     89     93
20 ft wind......W 6    W 4    SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.10     7      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   900    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 10   W 7    SE 6   SE 5   SE 7   SE 6
Dispersion idx..24     3      3      3      3      3
LVORI...........2      3      5      6      6      6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then shifting to the west 6
                    to 7 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west 7 to 9
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 39 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 27 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........15     10     25     35     45     55
Weather cov.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS
Chc of pcpn (%).10     40     40     40     60     60
Temp............75     77     86     91     93     92
RH..............95     91     72     62     60     61
20 ft wind......SE 2   SE 3   S 3    SW 5   W 6    W 7
20 ft wind gust.5      5      6      7      10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    2300   3500   4300   2900
Transport wind..S 6    S 5    S 6    SW 7   SW 7   W 9
Dispersion idx..2      4      18     32     39     33
LVORI...........7      6      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Close
Requested by...Melisa Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519202.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL melisa.thompson@myfwc.com