897
FNUS72 KTBW 181335
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for CI22...Fl Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
835 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on January 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Increased moisture will keep minimum afternoon relative humidity
values well above critical levels today and Sunday. A cold front
will push across the area tonight and Sunday with showers and
possibly a few thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 28 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 45 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 38 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 28.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........87     82     69     63     77
Weather cov.....              ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      20     20     20
Temp............60     68     73     75     73
RH..............96     89     78     73     79
20 ft wind......S 5    SW 8   SW 10  SW 10  SW 9
20 ft wind gust.10     15     17     18     16
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1700   2400   2200   1300
Transport wind..S 8    SW 15  SW 17  SW 17  SW 16
Dispersion idx..11     28     48     45     28
LVORI...........6      4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated showers
                    in the evening. Isolated thunderstorms through
                    the night. Widespread showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 12 early in the evening, then
                    increasing to 18 after 3 am.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........78     76     86     80     92     89
Weather cov.....ISOLTD        ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD WIDSPD
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD        ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     20     20     50     80
Temp............70     67     66     65     64     66
RH..............86     95     97     100    100    100
20 ft wind......SW 6   S 6    S 6    S 7    SW 8   SW 10
20 ft wind gust.14     13     14     14     16     17
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    500    500    500    600
Transport wind..SW 14  SW 15  S 15   SW 16  SW 18  SW 20
Dispersion idx..18     7      10     12     14     17
LVORI...........4      7      7      6      5      5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Widespread showers in
                    the morning. Isolated thunderstorms through the
                    day. Scattered showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 23 mph shifting to the northwest 20
                    to 22 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....24 increasing to 36 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 50 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 39 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........92     90     92     87     84     83
Weather cov.....WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).80     100    100    100    50     50
Temp............67     66     69     67     65     62
RH..............99     100    96     94     92     86
20 ft wind......SW 10  SW 13  SW 12  W 12   W 12   W 10
20 ft wind gust.18     20     20     21     20     17
Mix hgt (ft)....500    600    1100   1700   2100   2000
Transport wind..SW 21  W 17   W 20   W 22   W 23   W 21
Dispersion idx..21     23     27     39     51     51
LVORI...........5      5      4      4      4      4

$$
Forecaster...RDavis
Requested by...Cody Sikes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500890.0/TBW
.DELDT 01/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Cody.Sikes@fdacs.gov