Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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096
FXUS62 KTBW 161756
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
156 PM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 154 PM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025


A cold front has been pushing through the state today which is
pretty evident on satellite as a line of clouds push south with
clear skies behind it. We will see very dry air behind this front.
Couple that with light winds and clear skies overnight will allow
the temperatures to drop quickly overnight with most of us waking up
in the 50`s tomorrow morning. Areas north of I-4 will see the upper
40`s. Temperatures warm up quickly thanks to the drier air with
highs in the mid to upper 80`s.

High pressure off the east coast of the US will continue to
influence our weather from Friday through next Monday. During that
time we will see warm temperatures every afternoon with highs around
90 degrees and mostly sunny skies.

By next Tuesday a cold front will pass well to our north. However, a
stray shower or two can not be ruled out in Levy County.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 154 PM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025

VFR conditions expected through the period with winds out of the
north. Gust will remain around 15 knots before calming down after
sunset.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 154 PM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025

Winds will remain out of the north around 10 to 15 knots
through Thursday behind the cold front that has pushed through
today. Winds will then shift more southeasterly on Friday and should
remain out of the east or southeast through the weekend around 10
to 15 knots. No rain or marine hazards are expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 154 PM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025

We are see very dry conditions behind a cold front that
pushed through today with RHs as low as 20 percent. This drier air
will continue for the our Thursday afternoon however winds should
remain well below criteria for a Red Flag Warning. RHs will start to
rise as we go through Friday and into the weekend bringing them
above critical levels. No rainfall is expected through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  62  86  67  90 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  62  88  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  59  86  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  58  86  64  89 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  49  86  57  91 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  66  84  68  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...Davis
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Davis