406
FXUS62 KTBW 121251
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
851 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 850 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

High pressure over the region will continue the fair dry weather
with light winds becoming westerly as the sea breeze develops and
moves inland this afternoon. Temperatures will warm into the 70s
and lower 80s this afternoon with comfortable humidity levels.
Current forecast looks good with no changes planned.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 850 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

VFR conditions will prevail with light winds this morning becoming
westerly as the sea breeze develops and moves inland this
afternoon, then becoming light again tonight. Also could see some
patchy field fog in typical areas later tonight into early
Thursday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Very dry atmosphere and high pressure over the region will produce
blue bird skies and cool temps this morning followed by warming
but comfortable temps this afternoon through Thu. High pressure
moves into the W Atlantic Fri into Sat with southerly flow
increasing which will bring higher dew point airmass to the state
with max temps climbing into the mid to upper 80s.

The next storm system will to lift through the Deep South this
weekend as upper support moves through the Great Lakes region
while the weakening attendant cold front is expected to push
through the local area Sunday night into Monday morning with
showers and a few thunderstorms possible.

Another cool and dry high pressure center will filter into the
region for the start of next week.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure will continue to weaken today allowing winds and
seas to subside through the end of the work week. Southerly winds
and building seas are expected to increase this weekend ahead of
a cold front that should move through the E Gulf waters Sunday
night into Monday. Conditions are expected to become hazardous
through the weekend as the system moves through the region. Another
high pressure center will filter into the region on breezy
northerly winds for the start of next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
High pressure will keep the very dry airmass over the region today
with inland min RHs dropping below critical levels this afternoon but
winds are expected to remain light to prevent red flag conditions
today. Temps will continue to warm as humidity slowly increases
Thursday into the weekend as winds become southerly. Patchy fog
is possible nightly into morning hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  56  75  61 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  80  56  81  61 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  80  53  80  57 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  76  53  76  59 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  78  47  77  52 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  74  58  73  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Close
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Davis
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Giarratana