780
FXUS62 KTBW 192323
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
723 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 714 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

A few inland storms drifting SE this evening. Others could possibly
develop along the outflow boundaries and drift back towards the
coast. Otherwise, conditions quiet down overnight with the NW flow
becoming light and variable. Some drier air moves over the area
this weekend limiting rain chances for the next few days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 714 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

VFR conditions prevail with a few showers popping up in the
interior counties. A couple of showers/storms could materialize
along outflow boundaries from some of the inland storms and push
back towards the coast, coming close some of the southern sites.
Confidence on where these showers/storms develop was low so kept
out of the TAFs for now. NW flow becomes light and variable
overnight then more northerly tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  75  90  74  91 /  10  20  10  10
FMY  75  92  74  92 /  30  40  20  30
GIF  73  91  72  91 /  20  20   0  20
SRQ  75  92  74  92 /  10  20  20  10
BKV  71  91  70  92 /  10  20   0  10
SPG  79  91  78  92 /  10  20  10  10

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 8
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Pearce