603
FXUS62 KTBW 281120
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
620 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Some patchy fog will affect a few area terminals this morning,
with VFR returning by around 14Z. VFR is then expected through the
rest of the day, but a similar setup for fog is expected tomorrow
morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 105 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025
A weak cold front will sink south over the region today and will
stall across the central Florida peninsula as it becomes parallel
to the U/L flow. Drier air/lower dew points will advect over west
central Florida this afternoon, while temperatures will remain
near climatic normals. The frontal boundary will dissipate over
the area tonight. A reinforcing area of high pressure will build
over the Florida peninsula during the weekend with mostly sunny
skies each day and continued seasonable temperatures.

The area of high pressure will move off the mid Atlantic coast
early next week, which will cause boundary layer winds to shift to
the east off the Atlantic. This will cause temperatures and low
level moisture to gradually increase each day through mid week.

A cold front will push across west central and southwest Florida
Wednesday night and early Thursday with showers likely and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. High pressure will build back over
the forecast area in the wake of the front with cooler drier air
advecting across the region on gusty north to northwest winds.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 105 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025
Benign conditions are expected across the waters through early
next week. Winds and seas will begin to increase ahead of a cold
front on Wednesday, with SCEC/SCA conditions possible on the
waters in the wake of the front Wednesday night and Thursday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 105 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025
Relative humidity values are expected to drop below 35 percent
this afternoon across much of the nature coast. However, winds are
expected to remain below 15 MPH. Low RH`s will develop Saturday
afternoon over much of the interior...but again, winds will remain
less than 15 MPH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  55  74  58 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  79  57  79  56 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  78  53  77  54 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  79  56  75  60 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  77  46  75  50 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  74  58  72  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Aviation...Carlisle
Previous...Oglesby