276
FXUS62 KTBW 082340
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
740 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 730 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025
A cold front has pushed south of the forecast area, but over-
running behind the front is creating an area of cloudiness across
west central and southwest Florida this evening. As the front
continues to move away from the region, much cooler drier air
will advect across the forecast area with skies clearing overnight
from north to south. COC day on tap for Wednesday with sunny
skies, comfortable humidity levels, and relatively breezy north
to northwest winds. Temperatures will climb into the upper 70s
north/central, and lower 80s south.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-WED)...
Issued at 108 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

Ample cloud coverage remains across the peninsula along with a few
showers still streaming in areas along SW portions of the state.
This activity will continue as frontal boundary continues to move
south through this afternoon and early evening. Skies should begin
to clear tonight with overnight lows drop into 50s for most with
areas along the coast staying around 60 degrees. By Wednesday, high
pressure begins to build over the Gulf pushing slightly drier and
cooler air (at least for a second) with afternoon temperatures warm
up a degree or two but dry air will make conditions feel very
comfortable.

&&

.LONG TERM (THU-MON)...
Issued at 108 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

On Thursday, aforementioned high pressure weakens allowing moisture
top creep in from the east. This could bring a sprinkle or two
during the afternoon over interior locations. At the same time, a
deep upper level trough travels across the country and approaches
the region Friday into Saturday. Model guidance keeps most of the
upper level support north of our CWA and not a lot of moisture
available, so at the moment not a lot activity is anticipated. At
the very least, an increase in clouds to help a little bit with the
warm temperatures. The U/L low lifts north and strong high pressure
builds behind it. Much drier and slightly cooler temperatures, at
least overnight, will follow. Afternoon highs climb up into the mid
to upper 80s by early next week with rain free conditions staying in
place.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 730 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025
Areas of MVFR CIGs for the next several hours will affect mainly
terminals from SRQ and south. Skies will clear later tonight with
VFR conditions and breezy north to northwest winds developing,
which will persist through Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 108 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

A few showers remain over the southern waters, but should
gradually through this afternoon and evening. High pressure will
fill in behind the front, with north and northwest winds subsiding
through the next couple of days.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 108 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

High pressure builds behind recent cold front pushing cooler and
relatively drier air today into Wednesday. Relative humidity will
drop into the low 30s in a few spots on Wednesday afternoon, but
winds will not be high enough for Red Flag warnings. High
dispersion indices are expected Wednesday afternoon. Then, another
system could bring the potential for very little rain Friday into
Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  74  62  80  63 /  20   0   0   0
FMY  80  62  83  62 /  70  20   0   0
GIF  77  60  81  61 /  40   0   0   0
SRQ  75  61  80  61 /  40   0   0   0
BKV  74  53  80  54 /  10   0   0   0
SPG  73  64  78  65 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Oglesby
DECISION SUPPORT...Wynn
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Wynn