Spot Forecast
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043
FNUS72 KTAE 111225
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Rocky Comfort RX...FFS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
825 AM EDT Fri Apr 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A front sweeping through the region ushers breezy northwest winds
and a drying airmass today (min RH around 32%). Combined with
forecast mixing heights exceeding 7000 ft yields very high
dispersions beginning about 1PM EDT and persisting until this
evening. Low dispersions are forecast from ignition time until
11AM EDT, thus only giving a 2-hr window for favorable LDSI. Such
conditions should keep smoke away from I-10, but probably feed it
into west to SW parts of Tallahassee, such as the KTLH airport.

Lastly, there is a low chance for an isolated shower or
thunderstorm this afternoon (between about 4PM & 6PM EDT) at the
burn site with better potential in the Eastern FL Big Bend.
However, it would not be surprising to hear thunder and/or
experience gusty/erratic winds from distant storms to the east.
Similar conditions are expected tomorrow, minus convection.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   3   5   16  13  4   8   16  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   10  10  0
Temp............59  64  69  72  76  77  77  79  77
RH..............93  78  63  55  45  39  36  32  33
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   5   5   6   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  12  13  16  17  20  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.7 2.4 4.0 5.7 7.4 7.1 6.7 6.4
Transp wind dir.N   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   12  15  18  20  21  21
Dispersion......10  17  27  58  99  118 115 113 112
LVORI...........5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  10  8   13  8   5   6   3   5   4   6   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  74  69  66  64  62  60  58  57  56  55  53
RH..............33  34  42  48  52  58  62  67  69  72  74  80
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   7   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.20  20  17  17  16  15  15  15  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 2.7 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  18  16  15  14  14  13  13  13  12  12  12
Dispersion......102 62  9   8   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   4   5   2   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  52  51  53  58  62  65  67  70  71  72  73
RH..............80  83  86  80  69  60  51  44  38  35  33  31
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14  15  15  16  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  13  13  14  14  15  15  16  16  16  16  16
Dispersion......5   5   13  28  43  59  72  87  99  103 106 110
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Gonzalez
Requested by...Wesley Whitfield
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2509830.0/TAE
.DELDT 04/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wesley.whitfield@fdacs.gov