


Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
479 FNUS72 KTAE 150850 FWSTAE Spot Forecast for SMR Unit 216 Pile burn...USFWS National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 450 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 15. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... The main concerns today will be the hot temperatures and afternoon thunderstorms. The best chance of thunderstorms is expected from mid afternoon through early evening with gusty and erratic winds near storms. Winds outside of storms will be light today with northeast transport winds. Peak heat index values are expected to be near 108F this afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent increasing to 80 percent. Max temperature.....Around 96. Min humidity........49 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph. LVORI...............3. Dispersion index....14 increasing to 45 in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........16 16 16 23 23 23 43 43 43 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CWR.............10 10 10 50 50 50 80 80 80 Temp............82 86 88 90 92 94 96 93 89 RH..............85 75 68 66 60 54 49 56 64 20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 9 Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.5 2.1 3.2 4.2 4.8 4.4 3.4 2.4 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E Transp wind spd.6 5 5 6 8 8 8 8 7 Dispersion......14 14 14 47 47 47 43 43 43 LVORI...........5 4 3 3 2 1 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 40 percent late in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 74. Max humidity........94 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 8 mph. LVORI...............5. Dispersion index....16 decreasing to 4 in the late evening and overnight. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........53 53 53 67 67 67 49 49 49 76 76 76 Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CWR.............70 70 70 40 40 40 10 10 10 20 20 20 Temp............88 88 85 83 82 80 80 79 78 77 77 76 RH..............66 63 72 80 79 85 85 88 88 90 90 94 20 FT wind dir..N N NE NW N N NE NE NE NE E E 20 FT wind spd..3 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.NE NE N N NE NE NE NE E E E E Transp wind spd.8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 Dispersion......16 16 16 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers and thunderstorms. CWR.................90 percent increasing to 100 percent in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 88. Min humidity........77 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph shifting to the south 14 mph in the afternoon. LVORI...............5. Dispersion index....14 increasing to 44. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........70 70 70 60 60 60 61 61 61 54 54 54 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 Temp............76 76 77 80 82 84 85 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............90 90 90 88 85 82 80 82 82 80 80 77 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.9 10 10 10 12 14 15 16 17 18 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE SE S S S S S Transp wind spd.8 9 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 Dispersion......14 14 14 32 32 32 37 37 37 44 44 44 LVORI...........6 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...DVD Requested by...BArt Rye Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2518036.0/TAE .DELDT 07/15/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL barton_rye@fws.gov