996
FNUS72 KTAE 091538
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Thompson house Wakulla Pile Burn...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1138 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on July 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light northwest to west flow this morning should become westerly
through the afternoon at the burn site. Similar to the past few
days, scattered shower and storm activity is possible at the burn
site. Most activity, if it affects the site, would be after 12p
local time. Thunderstorms could bring gusty and erratic winds.
Westerly flow today will likely keep the seabreeze pinned closer
to the coast but because westerly flow is relatively weak, we
can`t rule out a slight uptick in a southwesterly wind component
if the seabreeze potentially moves near or through the site later
in the afternoon. Some shower and storm activity could continue
into the late afternoon hours but most storm activity should be
finished up or have moved inland by the early evening hours. Light
and variable winds expected tonight with relative humidity
recoveries to around 90%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 to 30 percent early in the afternoon,
                    increasing to 40 to 50 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........60-64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 to 7 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest 7 to
                    9 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....25 increasing to 33 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  78  76  82  81  64
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20  30  30  40  50  50
Temp............88  89  90  89  88  87
RH..............70  66  64  68  70  72
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.6 3.8 3.5 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   6   7   9
Dispersion......23  20  20  23  29  33
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) by sunrise.
CWR.................30-40 percent early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 10 percent late in the evening
                    and overnight hours.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63  80  85  88  88  76  61  62  48  50  56  56
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............30  40  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............86  85  84  83  82  80  80  80  78  78  78  77
RH..............75  77  77  80  79  82  85  85  88  88  88  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  12  10  10  9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
Dispersion......30  25  8   6   6   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6

$$
Forecaster...Dobbs
Requested by...Barton Rye
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517661.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL marysa_milinichik@fws.gov,barton_rye@fws.gov