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812
FNUS72 KTAE 171425
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Plank 87...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
925 AM EST Fri Jan 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on January 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds are expected through late morning before
winds increase and become more southerly this afternoon. RH values
are forecast to drop to between 30 and 40 percent this afternoon
before recovering above 60 percent after sunset. Dispersions are
low today mainly due to light transport winds as mixing heights
are forecast to be between 3-3,500 kft. Some fog will be possible
on Saturday morning ahead of the rain.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 6 to 7 mph early in the afternoon,
                    then shifting to the south around 7 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 22 in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   2   2   2   4   4   3   12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  56  60  63  64  65  64  63
RH..............61  49  42  38  35  35  37  39
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   7   8   8   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.1
Transp wind dir.NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   7   7   7
Dispersion......8   14  17  22  22  25  26  18
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....6.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  16  24  43  41  58  72  82  72  79  73  78
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  53  50  48  48  47  47  48  48  48  48  49
RH..............49  61  71  77  77  83  86  83  83  86  86  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   N   N   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   2   1   1   2   3   3   3   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   6   7
Dispersion......10  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   3   3
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   4   4   5   4   5   5   5   6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then rain
                    showers.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 80 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 12
                    to 18 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 29 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    19 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  88  95  92  94  96  96  95  94  92  91  92
Weather cov.....SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  51  52  56  59  62  64  66  67  67  68  67
RH..............89  89  100 96  96  97  93  90  87  90  87  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.6   7   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   10  12  14  16  17  18  17  16  14  13  12
Dispersion......5   8   9   19  24  28  31  33  30  27  24  19
LVORI...........6   5   7   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5

$$
Forecaster...Reese
Requested by...Michael Stevens
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500854.0/TAE
.DELDT 01/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Michael.Stevens@fdacs.gov