


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
079 FXUS66 KSTO 102022 AFDSTO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Sacramento CA 122 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 For additional details on weather and expected impacts over the next 7 days, please visit weather.gov/sto/briefing. .SYNOPSIS... A weak system continues bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening north of I-80. A colder, wet system will then bring widespread rainfall and the season`s first measurable snowfall to the mountains, though exact amounts and timing are still uncertain. .KEY MESSAGES... * TODAY - SUNDAY: - A weak system continues to bring breezy winds and scattered showers today, with precip primarily in Shasta County and the southern Cascades. Potential for rain continues through Saturday afternoon with a 55 to 80% chance of 0.25 inches in the aforementioned areas through Saturday. - 10-20% chance for thunderstorms this afternoon/evening in Shasta County. - Briefly drier conditions on Sunday before the next system arrives early next week. * MONDAY - WEDNESDAY: - A colder, wet system arrives early next week, bringing widespread rainfall and the season`s first measurable mountain snowfall through Wednesday evening. - Exact timing and amounts are still uncertain for this system, but a Winter Storm Watch has been issued from Monday morning to Wednesday evening for the Sierra south of I-80 and above 6500 ft. Biggest impacts are expected south of HWY 50. - 10-20% chance of thunderstorms Monday evening into Tuesday morning as well, as the system begins to move onshore. .AVIATION... A weak system will bring isolated MVFR conditions due to scattered showers north of I-80 and a 10-20% chance of isolated thunderstorms over Shasta County and adjacent terrain between 21Z Friday and 02Z Saturday. South winds 10-15 kts with gusts 15 to 20 kts through the Delta and northern/central Sacramento Valley until 04Z Saturday. Southwest gusts up to 20-30 kts over the mountains through 23Z Saturday. && .STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Storm Watch from Monday morning through Wednesday evening for West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada. && $$