Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
475 FXUS01 KWBC 082001 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 300 PM EST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 00Z Thu Jan 09 2025 - 00Z Sat Jan 11 2025 ...Extremely critical fire weather conditions continue for portions of the Southern California Coast with critical conditions persisting into Thursday... ...A developing winter storm is set to bring a significant wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain to much of the Southern U.S. late tonight into Friday... ...Pacific storm to bring coastal rain and mountain snow to parts of the Pacific Northwest on Friday... Extremely critical fire weather conditions will persist across portions of the Southern California Coast through this evening as strong downslope Santa Ana winds continue. The very strong winds combined with relative humidities in the teens and dry fuels will continue to support a dangerous wind and fire weather event. Terrain induced wind gusts of 70 to 90 mph will also result in numerous downed trees and power lines with widespread power outages likely. The worst of the extremely critical fire weather conditions are expected to wane overnight, but conditions will largely remain critically elevated through Thursday and possibly Friday as well. A significant winter storm remains on track to bring a wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain to a large portion of the Southern U.S to round out the work week. The developing storm is set to begin late tonight across portions of West Texas before expanding north and eastward across the Red River Valley, southern Ozarks, the Mid-South, and the Tennessee Valley Thursday into Friday. A large swath of heavy snow is expected to dangerously impact travel from southeast Oklahoma through much of Tennessee where accumulations have the potential to exceed 6 inches. Farther south, snow will transition from snow, to sleet, to freezing rain as warmer air aloft overspreads sub-freezing temperatures at the surface. The freezing rain will turn surfaces from roads, to sidewalks, to trees and power lines icy, leading to hazardous travel and the concern for downed tree branches and power outages from portions of Texas, Arkansas, and parts of the Southeast. Later in the period, a Pacific storm will come crashing ashore across the Pacific Northwest on Friday. This storm will have plenty of moisture to work with, setting the stage for widespread coastal rain and high elevation snow. The highest elevations of the Cascades will have the potential to receive over a foot of new snow by the time the storm ends later on Saturday. Miller Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$