193
FXUS01 KWBC 120749
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
348 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Valid 12Z Wed Mar 12 2025 - 12Z Fri Mar 14 2025

...Severe Weather potential over the Southern Plains and Lower
Mississippi Valley today...

...Storm system brings unsettled weather to the West...

...Critical Fire Weather Risk over parts of the Southern High
Plains through the rest of the week...

...Warm temperatures in the Central and Eastern U.S....


A potent shortwave and surface low pressure system will move
across the Southern Plains today. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will develop over the ArkLaTex and Lower Mississippi
Valley tonight. The Storm Prediction Center issued a Slight Risk
of Severe Thunderstorms over parts of northeast Texas southeast
Oklahoma, western Arkansas and northwestern Louisiana, where large
hail and localized wind damage are possible beginning this
afternoon and continuing into early Thursday morning.

In the West, an amplified upper trough will move ashore today,
spreading Pacific moisture, cooler air and strong winds across the
region. Heavy snow and powerful wind gusts of 40-70 mph below many
major passes will create dangerous to potentially impossible
travel conditions across the Sierra Nevada and northern California
higher terrain this afternoon into Thursday. Snowfall of 1 to 3
feet or more is possible which, along with high winds, would cause
scattered power outages. Heavy snow above 5000 feet and high winds
will cause widespread hazardous travel over much of the southern
Intermountain West and Rockies Thursday into Friday. Periods of
heavy rain with rates of 0.5"/hr are likely in parts of southern
California through Thursday morning. This could cause flash
flooding, including shallow debris flows across sensitive burn
scars or isolated rockslides, as well as hazardous travel due to
ponding of water and slick roads.

Persistent dry, warm and windy conditions will promote Critical
Fire Weather conditions across the Southern High Plains through
the rest of the week. Upper-level ridging will support above
average temperatures across the Central and Eastern U.S. for the
next few days. High temperatures in the 50s, 60s and 70s over the
Midwest and Northern Plains will represent 20 - 40 degree
anomalies through the end of the work week.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
$$