Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
346 FXUS01 KWBC 280751 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 250 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025 Valid 12Z Fri Nov 28 2025 - 12Z Sun Nov 30 2025 ...Heavy lake-effect snow will continue across the Great Lakes region into early Saturday morning; impactful snow squalls likely for the Interior Northeast Friday... ...The next major winter storm will affect the northern Plains and the Midwest Friday into Saturday bringing with it heavy snow and hazardous travel conditions... ...A wintry pattern will bring well below average, chilly temperatures to much of the eastern and central U.S. heading into the weekend... A winter storm that brought snow to portions of the northern Plains and the Great Lakes will continue into the day Friday, with strong west to northwesterly low-level post-frontal flow across the Great Lakes helping to fuel heavy lake effect snow showers. Snowfall rates of 1-2 inches will lead to storm total snowfall upwards of 1-2 feet with locally higher amounts possible, particularly downwind of Lake Superior across the northern Lower Peninsula of Michigan as well as downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Snow squalls bringing quick bursts of heavy snow and dangerous, white-out conditions will also be possible across the Interior Northeast. Conditions should begin to improve into Friday evening and especially by Saturday morning as the system moves further away from the region and the northwesterly flow subsides. The impacts from another winter storm have already begun to the west, as an upper-wave drops southward over a lingering boundary over the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Rockies/High Plains this morning. Rain is expected for lower elevations of the Pacific Northwest but most precipitation will be snow for both the higher elevations here as well as east into the Rockies/Plains. Snowfall totals generally around 3-6 inches, locally higher into the mountains, can be expected especially across northern Montana. Then, as the upper-wave reaches the Plains, lee cyclogenesis will help to deepen/organize a surface low in the central High Plains later Friday and into the overnight hours, with the intensifying low-pressure/frontal system bringing an increasingly expanding area of snow into the northern Plains Friday afternoon and the Midwest by Friday night. Snow will begin to taper off for the Rockies/northern Plains but continue for the Midwest Saturday as the quick moving system lifts northeastward across the central Plains and into the Midwest. A significant amount of accumulating snow is likely from eastern South Dakota eastward through the central and Upper Midwest, with totals of 6-12+ inches forecast. Gusty winds may lead to periods of blowing snow with hazardous Post-Thanksgiving travel conditions expected. Conditions across the Midwest should begin to improve overnight Saturday and into Sunday morning as the system lifts eastward into the Northeast. To the south, moist return flow ahead of the system will support a couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms across the southern Plains east towards the Mississippi Valley overnight Friday and through the day Saturday. Some moderate to locally heavy rainfall is expected closer to the western Gulf Coast where moisture will be higher and at least weak instability will be present. Some isolated instances of flash flooding and severe weather will be possible. Cooler temperatures to the north will spread a messy wintry mix across portions of the Missouri Valley early Saturday and into the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys through the day. This will continue into the northern Mid-Atlantic/New England into Sunday. Stagnant upper-troughing and repeated frontal passages will keep temperatures across much of the eastern and central U.S. not only well below average but downright chilly, with some of the coldest air of the season so far expected. Forecast highs Friday-Sunday generally range in the 20s and 30s for the Midwest, the 30s and 40s for New England and the Mid-Atlantic, and the 40s and 50s into the Southeast. Another cold front passage will bring highs in the teens and 20s to portions of the northern Rockies/Plains Friday and then into the central Plains Saturday. Portions of the southern Plains/Texas will see a brief warm-up into the 60s, 70s, and low 80s Saturday as flow turns southerly ahead of the next system before this cold front brings temperatures crashing into the 30s and 40s for Sunday. Similarly, portions of the Southeast coast should see a brief break from colder temperatures ahead of this system on Sunday, as highs climb into the 60s and 70s. In the West, temperatures will start above to well above average on Friday before some colder air spreads westward as well, bringing a modest cooling trend into the weekend. Forecast highs Friday generally range from the 40s and 50s for the interior, the 50s and 60s along the West Coast, and the 60s and 70s for the Desert Southwest, with highs dropping 2-3 degrees each day through Sunday. Putnam Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$