506
FXUS65 KSLC 040446
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
1046 PM MDT Sat Oct 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High pressure will keep conditions dry and mild over Utah and
  southwest Wyoming through the weekend.

- A weak storm system will move through the area Monday night into
  Tuesday, curbing the warming trend and bringing a very low
  chance of showers.

- A more active pattern may develop next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...High pressure centered over southern Utah this
evening will remain in place through Sunday while heights continue
to rise. Patchy high clouds this evening will clear out late
tonight resulting in fewer clouds on Sunday. Temperatures are
expected to continue trending slightly upward for Sunday.

On Monday, a weakening trough is still progged to make its way
into the Great Basin, crossing Utah Monday night through Tuesday.
This trough will bring a slight decrease in moisture and spotty
light precipitation. The NBM has a 15-25% chance of the mountains
seeing 0.05 inches of precipitation or greater, with generally a
5% chance or less in the valleys.

High pressure is expected to rebound for late week ahead of a
potentially stronger trough for the weekend or early next week.
Cluster analysis of global ensembles favor some flavor of trough
during this timeframe, but there is still some spread with regards
to timing and strength. A stronger/slower solution currently
looks more favorable, encompassing around 55% of members.

&&

.AVIATION...
KSLC...VFR conditions will persist for the KSLC terminal through the
period. Dry and stable conditions along with a few high clouds will
continue with light and diurnally driven winds.

REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...VFR conditions will persist for
the entire airspace through the period. Dry and stable conditions
along with a few high clouds will continue with light and diurnally
driven winds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER, Issued 132 PM MDT Sat Oct 3 2026...
High pressure will remain in place through the
weekend, resulting in dry, mild, and stable conditions with light
winds. A rather weak storm system will move through Utah late
Monday into Tuesday, bringing a slight increase in relative
humidity values and the potential for a few showers over the
higher terrain. Dry conditions are then expected for the remainder
of the work week with temperatures staying mild. There is the
potential for a stronger and colder storm system to impact the
area next weekend.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...Cheng
AVIATION...Mahan
FIRE WEATHER...Traphagan

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity