376
FXUS64 KSJT 061129
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
629 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A widespread, light freeze is possible early Monday morning.

- The week ahead looks quiet for our area weather-wise, with temperatures
  much warmer overall and dry conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

A much cooler airmass is in place this morning as evidenced by
temperatures in the upper 30s to around 40 which is about ten
degrees colder than normal for this time of year. Widespread stratus
is also in place across west central Texas with steady northwest
winds of 10-20 MPH.  The upper-level low pressure system that is
responsible for these conditions is currently over northwest Texas
and should move eastward through the day.  As the trough axis pushes
eastward later this morning, a drier airmass advecting in at the low-
levels should help clouds to clear out around midday and give way to
sunny skies this afternoon.  Northwest winds look to remain fairly
breezy through the afternoon before diminishing rapidly this evening.
The light and variable winds combined with clear skies should
provide ideal radiational cooling conditions for the area with
temperatures expected to fall to the low to mid 30s.  The big
question is how much of the area will drop below freezing?  For now,
it appears to be a low to medium chance for at or below freezing
temperatures.  Low-lying areas are most likely to see these
conditions and should only be for a short time.  Regardless, given
the fact that the growing season has started, a Freeze Watch is
effect for tonight so that anyone with sensitive plants should plan
on covering them or taking them inside.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 348 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

After a cold start to the day Monday, temperatures will be
pleasant Monday afternoon (albeit below normal) with highs in the
upper 60s and lower 70s and sunny skies. Light winds will become
southeast to south Monday night, but wind speeds will remain low
enough to allow for good radiational cooling once again with clear
skies. Early Tuesday morning lows are expected to be in the upper
30s to lower 40s in the Big Country, and mid to upper 30s for the
rest of the area farther south. The coldest readings will be in
favored low- lying areas.

Daytime temperatures will be much warmer Tuesday and Wednesday, with
highs well into the 80s on Wednesday. With lee surface trough
development to our west and increasing pressure gradient, south-
southwest winds will increase Tuesday into Wednesday and become
breezy.

A cold front is expected to move south across our area late
Wednesday night into Thursday, associated with an upper trough which
will deepen over the Midwest. This is expected to be a weak front
for our area. Highs Thursday will be several degrees cooler across
the Big Country, with little temperature change in our southern
counties. Surface high pressure ridge will settle south into Texas
Thursday night, and overnight lows with radiational cooling are
expected to be in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Near normal
temperatures are indicated for Friday.

The southern portion of an upper level ridge is progged to shift
east into Texas for next weekend. Temperatures will be warmer for
our area, accompanied by increased and gusty south winds.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

MVFR ceilings should continue improve between 12Z and 18Z,
then clear out after 18Z. Gusty north to northwest winds are also
anticipated through the day, even after ceilings dissipate,
before becoming calm after 00Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     56  33  69  42 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  59  33  73  39 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    59  31  72  36 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   56  31  69  36 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  56  35  70  43 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       59  36  72  39 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       56  33  67  38 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Monday morning for Brown-
Callahan-Coke-Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-
Kimble-Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher-
Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...SK