925
FXUS64 KSJT 271737
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1137 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Low chances of showers by Friday afternoon, and low to medium
   chances for showers and a few thunderstorms Friday night.

-  Much colder temperatures expected Sunday into the first part of
   next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Quiet weather expected tonight, with light easterly winds becoming
more southerly by Friday morning. Clouds will also be on the
increase as low level flow advects Gulf moisture into the area,
with low clouds likely covering the entire west central Texas area
by sunrise Friday. As lee troughing occurs to our north, surface
winds will increase to 15 to 20 mph, with gusts up to around 25
mph out of the south by early afternoon. A relatively weak
shortwave will move across the area in the upper levels, resulting
in low (20% to 30%) chances for scattered showers, from late
morning through the afternoon. Although it will be cloud,
temperatures will warm into the upper 50s to lower 60s, after
lows in the 40s tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Low-level moisture will increase over our area Friday with
strengthening return flow. Breezy south winds and mostly cloudy
skies are expected, with afternoon highs mostly in the lower 60s.
Isolated to scattered showers are possible, mainly Friday afternoon
and Friday night in association with a weak upper shortwave moving
through the area. A few thunderstorms will be possible Friday
evening and Friday night in some of our eastern counties with an
increase in instability. An upper trough will move southeast across
the northern and central Plains into the Midwest on Saturday, and
associated cold front will advance south across our area during the
afternoon and evening. Depending on the specific timing with this
front, it could curtail highs to the mid 60s to near 70 in some of
our northern counties. Our central and southern counties should have
highs in the lower to mid 70s, with south to southwest winds ahead
of the front and partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies.

Gusty north winds can be expected Saturday night in the wake of the
cold frontal passage. Temperatures will drop into the upper 20s to
lower 30s by daybreak Sunday. Brisk northeast winds will make for a
cold Sunday morning. The colder airmass will settle in for Sunday
into the first part of the week. Temperatures should be confined to
the lower to mid 40s for highs in most of our area Sunday, with a
few upper 40s in our far southern counties. Lows Sunday night are
expected to range from the mid 20s to lower 30s. Models continue to
trend drier for early next week, and now only have a slight chance
(20 percent) for light rain showers in eastern portions of San Saba
and Mason Counties Monday morning. Another upper trough is forecast
to drop southeast into the southern Plains on Monday, pushing a cold
front south across our area late Monday afternoon into early Monday
night. Monday night looks cold with temperatures dropping into the
20s for lows, and accompanied by somewhat breezy north winds.

Temperatures will remain cool and below normal Tuesday with highs in
the lower to mid 50s. Wednesday looks warmer with a return of
southerly winds and highs in the lower to mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

VFR conditions this afternoon, with slowly clearing 4000 to 6000
foot ceilings. Moisture will increase tonight into tomorrow, with
MVFR CIGs expected to move in after 06Z tonight, impacting KSOA
and KSJT first, then eventually moving into the KJCT and KBBD
terminals by around 12Z. Winds will be 10 knots or less out of the
east/southeast tonight, becoming more southerly by late tomorrow
morning and eventually increasing into the 10 to 15 knot range by
early Friday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     46  62  55  74 /   0  20  30   0
San Angelo  47  62  53  75 /   0  20  20   0
Junction    46  64  53  76 /   0  30  30   0
Brownwood   42  61  51  74 /   0  20  50  10
Sweetwater  46  62  55  72 /   0  10  10   0
Ozona       48  60  53  74 /   0  20  10   0
Brady       46  61  53  73 /   0  20  40   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...20