491
FXUS64 KSJT 010802
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
302 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Mostly clear skies are greeting west central Texas this morning
along with warm temperatures around 80. The center of the upper-
level ridge is located further eastward today, compared to
yesterday.  Therefore, high temperatures should be a few degrees
cooler than the past few days but should still reach the low 100s.
Dewpoint temperatures are in the mid 60s this morning, which is a
bit lower than yesterday, and should mix out to the upper 50s this
afternoon. Despite another day in the 100s, heat indices should
stay below 105 for the majority of the area, so there is no plan
to issue a heat advisory this morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 213 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

An upper level ridge centered across the southeast U.S. will
dominate the weather across West Central Texas through at least
Thursday. This will result in above normal temperatures and dry
conditions. Highs on Tuesday will likely be near or exceed Heat
Advisory criteria for much of the Concho Valley and Big Country,
with highs between 103 and 106. Elsewhere, expect highs between 100
and 103. More of the same for Wednesday, although highs should be a
degree or two less hot. Highs on Thursday, Fourth of July, will
be in the upper 90s to near 104.

On Friday, the aforementioned upper level ridge shifts a bit farther
east, while an upper level trough tracks across the Northern and
Central Plains. This will send a cold front south into West
Central Texas late Friday into Saturday. The front may be a focus
for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms late Friday
into Saturday. For now, PoPs were kept in the slight chance to
chance category. Highs Friday and Saturday will be several degrees
cooler than what is expected earlier in the week. Expect highs in
the mid 90s to near 100.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Generally VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours. Some
scattered clouds at around 2000ft are possible around sunrise this
morning. Otherwise, southerly winds will increase this morning and
become gusty this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene    101  78 102  78 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo 103  77 104  77 /   0   0   0   0
Junction   100  74 101  75 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  100  76 102  76 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater 102  77 104  78 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       98  74  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       98  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...SK