316
FXUS64 KSJT 092324
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
524 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Dry weather with a warming trend this weekend into early next
    week.

  - A cold front on Wednesday will return temperatures to near
    normal, with highs in the 60s and 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 215 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Quiet weather can be expected for our area through Sunday.
Initially southwest flow aloft over our area will become quasi-
zonal on Sunday, as an upper level low (currently over the central
Plains) moves northeast into the Upper Midwest. With a weak
surface pressure gradient across our area, wind speeds will be
mostly less than 10 mph. Patchy cloud cover over southern and
central parts of our area will decrease in coverage tonight, and
skies will be sunny on Sunday. Lows tonight will be generally in
the 40s. With ample sunshine and an increase in 850mb
temperatures, highs on Sunday are expected to be warmer in the
lower to mid 70s across the Big Country, and in the mid to upper
70s farther south with some locations reaching or exceeding 80
degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Overall dry and pleasant conditions should continue for early
next week weak ridging builds over Texas. High temperatures should
gradually warm back up into the mid to upper 70s for Veterans`
Day, then around 80 on Tuesday. By Wednesday, an upper-level
shortwave trough is expected move over the northern and central
Plains. This would push a weak cold front into west central Texas
and lower temperatures by a few degrees. Models hint at some low
chances for rain north of Interstate 20 from this front, but for
now, the forecast was kept dry for Wednesday. Toward the end of
the week, warm and breezy conditions should set up as strong
southerly return flow occurs ahead of another system. Models show
this system digging into southern California. Depending on how
this evolves, this would place west central Texas into an active
pattern under southwest flow aloft for next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 524 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

VFR at all sites through the next 24 hours. Light and variable
winds tonight will become west/northwesterly 5 to 10 knots by
early afternoon Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     45  73  45  75 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  44  79  44  78 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    46  81  47  81 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   46  76  44  75 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  45  73  47  76 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       45  77  46  78 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       49  78  45  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...20