369
FXUS64 KSJT 222331
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
531 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 -  Warming trend into the weekend, with breezy conditions (15 to
    20 mph winds) on Saturday.

 -  A weak cold front and slightly cooler temperatures arrive
    early next week.

 -  A stronger cold front arrives Wednesday night, bringing cooler
    conditions for Thanksgiving Day.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 222 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

A quiet weather pattern will continue through the weekend, with
warming temperatures. A weak ridge aloft was located over the Four
Corners area of the southwestern US this afternoon. This ridge
will move eastward into west Texas over the weekend as a surface
trough develops over far west Texas. The deepening surface trough
will increase winds across the area beginning Saturday, with south
to southwest winds in the 10 to 20 mph range with higher gusts
near 25 mph. The stronger southerly flow combined with the ridge
aloft will lead to temperatures warming tonight through the
weekend. Lows tonight will remain above freezing in the 40 to 45
degree range, with highs on Saturday generally in the mid 70s. No
precipitation is expected, and skies will stay mostly clear.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)
Issued at 247 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

The ridge aloft that is located across the Great Plains will
eventually become zonal over the next few days. This will leave
benign weather across the region. Warmer temperatures will slowly
build back across the region. Then, a few shortwave disturbances
will swing a couple of cold fronts through our area again on both
Monday and for Thanksgiving Day next week. Temperatures will be
up and down throughout the week as a result. Lows should remain
just above freezing for most locations.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 531 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours. Light winds
overnight will increase out of the south-southwest by late
morning with gusts around 25KT. Some slight wind-shear in the low
levels is possible tonight around SJT from 06Z-12Z but this was
not included in the TAF because it is below criteria.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     46  74  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  45  75  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    42  76  52  81 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   40  76  52  81 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  47  74  56  80 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       45  72  53  76 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       43  75  54  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...SK