


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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934 FXUS64 KSJT 091915 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 215 PM CDT Sun Mar 9 2025 ...New LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Frost and possible light freeze for overnight Sunday into Monday morning, mainly in low-lying areas. - Increased potential for elevated to critical fire weather conditions across all of West Central Texas much of the upcoming week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sun Mar 9 2025 High pressure will slowly settle into West Central Texas tonight, with winds becoming light and variable overnight, and skies continuing to clear out of the area. With mostly clear skies tonight and some radiational cooling expected, cooler overnight low temperatures in the 30s are expected overnight tonight into Monday morning. There is even some potential for some frost or a light freeze in some low-lying areas. High temperatures jump back into the 70s tomorrow under mostly sunny skies and some downsloping from the breezy southwesterly winds Monday afternoon. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Sunday) Issued at 214 PM CDT Sun Mar 9 2025 Expect mainly above normal temperatures and dry weather for this week. Expect low level southerly flow and warm 850 temperatures to result in highs in the 70s and 80s. Overnight lows will remain well above freezing for the rest of the week. A storm system on Wednesday will being windy and dry conditions resulting in critical fire weather conditions across the southern Concho Valley, Northern Edwards Plateau and Northwest Hill Country. Expect elevated to near critical fire danger elsewhere. On Friday, a very strong storm system over the Plains(sub 984 MB low over southwest Nebraska 12Z Friday) will bring very windy and dry conditions, behind a dryline which will result in widespread critical fire weather conditions. Expect breezy to windy conditions Saturday behind a cold front and cooler temperatures. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sun Mar 9 2025 Some lingering MVFR to low VFR ceilings persist across the KBBD, KSJT and KJCT terminals, and are expected to improve to VFR ceilings within the next hour or two (by 20Z). Breezy north to northwesterly winds will continue through this afternoon and begin to diminish this evening, becoming light and variable across all terminals through Monday morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected overnight into Monday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 38 76 49 83 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 35 76 46 82 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 34 76 42 83 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 33 76 40 84 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 40 76 49 83 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 38 73 44 79 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 36 76 46 82 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...TP LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...TP