686
FXUS64 KSJT 061123
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
623 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Warm, dry, and quiet weather expected through the next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 327 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Expect another warm day with generally light winds. Upper level
ridging will remain over the area. The main difference between
today and the previous few days will be wind direction. Our winds
will be influenced by surface high pressure building southeast
into the southern Great Lakes region, turning our winds to the
east/northeast. Otherwise, we`re still expecting highs in the
upper 80s to lower 90s, and lows tonight in the upper 50s to lower
60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 227 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

A benign forecast is on tap for at least the next week or so as
upper level ridging over much of the southern US continues to
dominate the upper level pattern. Temperatures are expected to
gradually warm through Thursday as the 850 mb thermal ridge
strengthens by midweek with 850 mb temperatures 5 to 10 degrees
above normal for this time of year. High temperatures at the start
of the week will be in the upper 80s to low 90s with highs by
Wednesday and Thursday climbing into the low to mid 90s areawide.
Some guidance is even hinting at the potential for temperatures in
the upper 90s for some locations which would be between 10-15
degrees above normal for early/mid October. The 850 mb thermal
ridge starts to weaken by Friday with highs by the weekend falling
back into the mid 80s to low 90s. Overnight lows through the long
term will remain consistent in the upper 50s to low 60s. Expect
plenty of sunshine through the period with near zero rain chances
through next weekend. Mid-range models are suggesting that a cold
front may move through our area early next week but current
indications show that this would be a dry frontal passage with no
rain expected at this time. It may bring temperatures back down
closer to normal for next week but for now, the warm and dry
pattern should be expected for the foreseeable future.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours with light and variable,
or easterly flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     89  61  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  90  61  88  60 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    91  60  90  58 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   89  61  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  89  63  87  64 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       89  61  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       88  61  88  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....50
AVIATION...20