113
FXUS64 KSJT 041103
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
603 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday morning, mainly
  across our eastern counties. A few strong to severe storms are
  possible. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible.

- Hot and dry conditions will return through next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

A complex of thunderstorms is tracking southeast across western
Oklahoma early this morning. The current track of this complex
would keep it to the east of West Central Texas and most CAMs
agree with this solution. Will keep an eye on these storms through
the morning hours, but expect most of the activity to remain east
of our area. Additional isolated showers and thunderstorms are
possible this afternoon, mainly across our southeast counties. A
few CAMs indicate isolated showers and thunderstorms farther north
and west, into the Concho Valley, but confidence is low, so for
now have kept PoPs confined to our southeast counties. Another hot
day is forecast across the region with highs in the low to mid
90s across our eastern counties and in the mid 90s to near 100
across our western counties. Expect overnight lows in the upper
60s to lower 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

An upper level high is currently centered near southern AZ early
this morning. This upper ridge will meander into New Mexico later
this week, and then back towards the New Mexico/Arizona state line
by next weekend. At the same time, the ridge will strengthen and
expand farther into Texas this week. This will result in hot
temperatures and a mainly dry forecast for west central Texas
through next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 602 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Expect light
winds to become southeast and increase to 8 to 12 knots this
afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon, but coverage should remain isolated enough to not include
thunder in the current TAF package.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     95  71  97  75 /  10   0   0   0
San Angelo  99  71  97  73 /  10  10   0   0
Junction    97  70  96  71 /  20  10  10   0
Brownwood   93  70  94  72 /  20  10  10   0
Sweetwater  98  72  99  75 /  10   0   0   0
Ozona       99  71  97  72 /  10  10   0   0
Brady       94  71  93  72 /  30  10  10   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Daniels
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...Daniels