437
FXUS64 KSJT 101059
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
559 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Not as hot this week with a chance of isolate to scattered
  showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 152 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Hot and dry conditions will persist across our area today.
However, afternoon highs will be slightly cooler compared to
yesterday as the upper level ridge begins to break down. Highs
will range from the mid to upper 90s along the I-10 corridor to
the upper 90s to around 103 degrees in the Concho Valley and Big
Country. Overnight lows will be in the lower to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Latest model blends continue to increase POPs for Tuesday
afternoon across West Central Texas. Upper level ridge breaks down
and allows a weak upper level trough to slide into Texas.
Scattered showers and storms expected to develop, focused on
Monday Night and Tuesday as a cold front slides south out of the
Panhandle and provides a little additional focus. Beyond the range
of most of the CAMs at this point, but the latest NAMNEST does
show a decent area of convection across the South Plains moving
southeast towards the Big Country Monday evening into the early
morning hours on Tuesday. PWAT vales are 1.5 to 1.75 so close to
normal and not tropical air mass type of values, so fairly typical
type of summer thunderstorm downpours are the likely result.

Along with the increased rain chances, more cloud cover and the
absence of the upper ridge will allow afternoon highs to drop down
below seasonal normals with highs in the low to mid 90s for
Tuesday and Wednesday. Upper high building back into the area will
allow for a warming trend by late in the week into the weekend and
some portions of the area inching back up towards the 100 degree
mark.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 554 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

VFR conditions will continue for the next 24 hours. Winds will
increase later this morning at KABI and KSJT, leading to gusts
around 18 to 22kts this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene    100  74  97  72 /   0   0  20  20
San Angelo  99  72  96  71 /   0   0  20  20
Junction    97  71  95  70 /   0   0  20  10
Brownwood   96  72  95  71 /   0   0  20  10
Sweetwater 102  74  97  72 /   0  10  30  30
Ozona       97  71  94  71 /   0   0  20  20
Brady       94  72  92  71 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...AP