River Forecast
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246
FGUS55 KSTR 142120
RVFSJB

RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER SALT LAKE CITY UT
1519 MDT Tue Oct 14, 2025

FORECASTS BASED ON LATEST 7 DAY QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
FORECASTS BASED ON LATEST 10 DAY TEMPERATURE FORECAST



*** GJT HSA

R I V E R   S T A G E   F O R E C A S T S
                           Flood |   Last Observed  |   Forecast Peak
                           Stage | Stage  Flow  Time| Stage  Flow  Date/Time
                             ft  |   ft    cfs   hh |   ft    cfs  mmdd/hh
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PSPC2:SAN JUAN - PAGOSA SP: 10.5 |11.46   6250   20z |10.02   4248  1016/00z
DRGC2:ANIMAS - DURANGO    :  8.0 | 6.30   5670   20z | 6.55   6216  1015/00z
MNRC2:MANCOS - MANCOS, NR :  6.0 | 4.67    200   20z | 4.69    207  1015/00z
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
c = calculated by RFC hydrologic model - recent observed data available
e = estimated by RFC hydrologic model - no recent observed data available


Six Hourly Forecast Stage & Peak (feet)
Beginning 10/15 00z:

SAN JUAN - PAGOSA SPRINGS
.ER PSPC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  9.78 / 8.76 / 8.57 / 8.62 /10.02 / 9.91 / 9.02 / 8.09 / 7.72 / 7.40 /
.E2  7.13 / 6.90 / 6.69 / 6.52 / 6.37 / 6.25 / 6.16 / 6.08 / 5.99 / 5.92 /
.AR PSPC2 20251016 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZXZ 10.02
.ER PSPC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  9.78 / 8.76 / 8.57 / 8.62 /10.02 / 9.91 / 9.02 / 8.09 / 7.72 / 7.40 /
.E2  7.13 / 6.90 / 6.69 / 6.52 / 6.37 / 6.25 / 6.16 / 6.08 / 5.99 / 5.92 /
.AR PSPC2 20251016 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFEXZ 10.02
ANIMAS - DURANGO
.ER DRGC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  6.55 / 5.97 / 5.39 / 5.10 / 4.98 / 4.87 / 4.64 / 4.37 / 4.17 / 4.03 /
.E2  3.91 / 3.80 / 3.72 / 3.65 / 3.59 / 3.53 / 3.48 / 3.45 / 3.43 / 3.40 /
.AR DRGC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZXZ  6.55
.ER DRGC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  6.55 / 5.97 / 5.39 / 5.10 / 4.98 / 4.87 / 4.64 / 4.37 / 4.17 / 4.03 /
.E2  3.91 / 3.80 / 3.72 / 3.65 / 3.59 / 3.53 / 3.48 / 3.45 / 3.43 / 3.40 /
.AR DRGC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFEXZ  6.55
MANCOS - MANCOS, NR
.ER MNRC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  4.69 / 4.51 / 4.41 / 4.34 / 4.24 / 4.11 / 4.02 / 3.97 / 3.95 / 3.93 /
.E2  3.92 / 3.90 / 3.88 / 3.87 / 3.85 / 3.83 / 3.82 / 3.81 / 3.79 / 3.76 /
.AR MNRC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZXZ  4.69
.ER MNRC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  4.69 / 4.51 / 4.41 / 4.34 / 4.24 / 4.11 / 4.02 / 3.97 / 3.95 / 3.93 /
.E2  3.92 / 3.90 / 3.88 / 3.87 / 3.85 / 3.83 / 3.82 / 3.81 / 3.79 / 3.76 /
.AR MNRC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFEXZ  4.69



*** ABQ HSA

R I V E R   S T A G E   F O R E C A S T S
                           Flood |   Last Observed  |   Forecast Peak
                           Stage | Stage  Flow  Time| Stage  Flow  Date/Time
                             ft  |   ft    cfs   hh |   ft    cfs  mmdd/hh
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARFN5:ANIMAS - FARMINGTON : 10.0 | 7.77   3760   20z | 9.35   6716  1015/10z
CDRC2:ANIMAS - CEDAR HILL,: 10.5 | 8.98   6250   20z | 9.18   6730  1015/04z
FRMN5:SAN JUAN - FARMINGTO:  8.5 | 5.53   4910   20z | 7.01   7766  1015/06z
SHRN5:SAN JUAN - SHIPROCK : 15.5 |12.46   6680   20z |13.56   8587  1015/17z
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
c = calculated by RFC hydrologic model - recent observed data available
e = estimated by RFC hydrologic model - no recent observed data available


Six Hourly Forecast Stage & Peak (feet)
Beginning 10/15 00z:

ANIMAS - FARMINGTON
.ER ARFN5 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  8.52 / 9.29 / 9.15 / 8.46 / 7.84 / 7.56 / 7.45 / 7.29 / 7.02 / 6.74 /
.E2  6.53 / 6.39 / 6.27 / 6.16 / 6.07 / 6.00 / 5.93 / 5.87 / 5.82 / 5.78 /
.AR ARFN5 20251015 Z DH10/DC202510142116/HGIFZXZ  9.35
.ER ARFN5 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  8.52 / 9.29 / 9.15 / 8.46 / 7.84 / 7.56 / 7.45 / 7.29 / 7.02 / 6.74 /
.E2  6.53 / 6.39 / 6.27 / 6.16 / 6.07 / 6.00 / 5.93 / 5.87 / 5.82 / 5.78 /
.AR ARFN5 20251015 Z DH10/DC202510142116/HGIFEXZ  9.35
ANIMAS - CEDAR HILL, NR
.ER CDRC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  9.13 / 9.02 / 8.39 / 7.80 / 7.56 / 7.45 / 7.33 / 7.10 / 6.86 / 6.68 /
.E2  6.54 / 6.42 / 6.31 / 6.22 / 6.14 / 6.08 / 6.01 / 5.96 / 5.92 / 5.89 /
.AR CDRC2 20251015 Z DH04/DC202510142116/HGIFZXZ  9.18
.ER CDRC2 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  9.13 / 9.02 / 8.39 / 7.80 / 7.56 / 7.45 / 7.33 / 7.10 / 6.86 / 6.68 /
.E2  6.54 / 6.42 / 6.31 / 6.22 / 6.14 / 6.08 / 6.01 / 5.96 / 5.92 / 5.89 /
.AR CDRC2 20251015 Z DH04/DC202510142116/HGIFEXZ  9.18
SAN JUAN - FARMINGTON
.ER FRMN5 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  6.25 / 7.01 / 6.93 / 6.17 / 5.44 / 5.07 / 4.89 / 4.70 / 4.42 / 4.13 /
.E2  3.92 / 3.77 / 3.65 / 3.54 / 3.45 / 3.38 / 3.31 / 3.25 / 3.20 / 3.16 /
.AR FRMN5 20251015 Z DH06/DC202510142116/HGIFZXZ  7.01
.ER FRMN5 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  6.25 / 7.01 / 6.93 / 6.17 / 5.44 / 5.07 / 4.89 / 4.70 / 4.42 / 4.13 /
.E2  3.92 / 3.77 / 3.65 / 3.54 / 3.45 / 3.38 / 3.31 / 3.25 / 3.20 / 3.16 /
.AR FRMN5 20251015 Z DH06/DC202510142116/HGIFEXZ  7.01
SAN JUAN - SHIPROCK
.ER SHRN5 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1 12.51 /12.92 /13.51 /13.52 /12.90 /11.77 /11.07 /10.69 /10.45 /10.15 /
.E2  9.82 / 9.56 / 9.38 / 9.24 / 9.13 / 9.02 / 8.94 / 8.86 / 8.80 / 8.74 /
.AR SHRN5 20251015 Z DH17/DC202510142116/HGIFZXZ 13.56
.ER SHRN5 20251015 Z DH00/DC202510142116/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1 12.51 /12.92 /13.51 /13.52 /12.90 /11.77 /11.07 /10.69 /10.45 /10.15 /
.E2  9.82 / 9.56 / 9.38 / 9.24 / 9.13 / 9.02 / 8.94 / 8.86 / 8.80 / 8.74 /
.AR SHRN5 20251015 Z DH17/DC202510142116/HGIFEXZ 13.56



**NOTE: The forecasts that are SHEF encoded with the `FE` type-source will
        overwrite forecasts from the SLCRVFMCT product


$$