Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FNUS74 KSHV 081353
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for Cat C-98...USFS
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
853 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on July 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and mostly clear start to the morning ahead of an afternoon
field of cumulus across the district. By the late afternoon and
evening, convective hi-res models suggest showers and
thunderstorms across the burn zone. Gusty winds will prevail
within the vicinity of the convection, but based on spot return
time, 20ft winds should fair around 5-7 mph with a gust or two
just below 10 mph through the early and mid afternoon. Through the
morning and afternoon, RH percentages will turn close to 40 and
50 percent, while mixing heights in the region sit between
4500-5kft.

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........59  59  68  86  95  95  95  95  84
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............40  40  40  40  80  80  80  80  80
Temp............79  84  86  87  89  89  90  90  89
RH..............91  77  70  68  61  61  60  60  61
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind mph..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.9 3.9 5.0 5.7 5.5 4.8 3.8 3.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  12  9   9   9   10  10
Trans wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).4   5   6   5   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..27  36  40  41  40  42  41  38  28
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
Sky (%).........63  52  53  55  56  51  40  34  34  34  34  39
Weather cov.....DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............80  30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............87  86  83  81  78  77  76  75  75  75  75  75
RH..............65  68  74  79  88  90  94  97  97  97  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind mph..6   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  9   9   8   8
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..16  6   3   3   4   4   4   5   4   3   4   4
LVORI...........2   3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........50  55  55  55  55  62  77  84  84  84  84  78
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............74  74  77  81  84  86  87  89  90  90  91  90
RH..............97  97  90  82  77  72  68  64  62  60  58  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind mph..3   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.0 4.4 3.9 3.0 2.1 1.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  12  13  13  14  14  15  15  15  13
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
Dispersion idx..6   10  17  25  34  43  50  54  52  47  38  28
LVORI...........7   6   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...KNAPP
Requested by...Charles Davis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517545.0/SHV
.DELDT 07/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.g.davis@usda.gov