Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FNUS74 KSHV 152006
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for KRD Prairies...USFS
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
306 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on September 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will remain light with no chances of rain overnight into
tomorrow morning. Chances of patchy fog will boost LVORI values
towards the higher end of the scale by early tomorrow.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Isolated
                    thunderstorms through the day. Chance of
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........70 at ignition...Max 86.
RH..................100 percent at ignition...Min 65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds north at 1 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon, then becoming light late
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...700 meters AGL at ignition...otherwise 213-1128
                    meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 34 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 24 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  48  45  46  47  42  46  44  43  43
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............70  73  77  80  82  82  84  85  83  82
RH..............100 93  85  77  72  72  67  65  70  72
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.2               4   4   5   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
Trans wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..8   10  13  19  26  31  35  36  33  24
LVORI...........7   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 69.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-610 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast 3 to
                    6 mph late in the evening.
Transport winds m/s.North around 3 meters/second shifting to the
                    northeast 1 to 3 meters/second late in the
                    evening.
Dispersion index....8 decreasing to 2 early in the evening.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........47     43     37     36     41     61
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD
CWR.............30     10     10     10     0      0
Temp............82     75     73     72     71     70
RH..............69     94     100    100    100    100
20 ft wind......N 3    N 2    N 2    NE 1   NE 1   N 1
20 ft wind gust.4                    2      2      2
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0    0.5    0.5    0.5    0.5    0.5
Mix hgt (m).....610    150    150    150    150    150
Transport wind..N 7    N 5    NE 6   NE 6   NE 5   NE 3
Tran wind (m/s).N 3    N 2    NE 3   NE 3   NE 2   NE 1
Dispersion idx..12     0      3      2      2      2
LVORI...........4      6      9      9      9      10

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Max 86.
RH..................Min 65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 1 to 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  76  71  62  57  56  52  50  48  44  42  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............69  69  72  74  77  79  80  82  83  84  85  83
RH..............100 100 100 93  87  82  77  72  70  67  65  69
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2               4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.2 3.7 2.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.8
Transp wind dir.NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   5   5   3   3   5   5   6   6
Trans wind dir..NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).1   1   1   2   2   2   1   1   2   2   3   3
Dispersion idx..2   4   6   9   12  13  15  17  23  29  31  23
LVORI...........10  9   8   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...CASSEL
Requested by...Nathan Miller
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422494.0/SHV
.DELDT 09/15/24
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL nathan.w.miller@usda.gov