Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
111
FNUS54 KSHV 152003
FWFSHV
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Arkansas...
Northwest Louisiana...East Texas...and Extreme Southeast Oklahoma
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Extended summer afternoon temps still linger under the latest
upper level ridge, which has peaked and will be slowly moving
E/SE over the next day. The associated surface high is over the
Great Lakes and the NE winds flowing down the MS River Valley are
about to shift to E/SE and even S/SW by the weekend. This is good
news to boost our RH values going forward ahead of the next cold
front early Sunday. Rainfall totals remain quarter to half inch
over our deep E TX zones and an inch plus along and east of I-49.
The main push will be late day and overnight with some severe
threat still possible as the upper low is vigorous. The pattern of
dry is starting to show signs of change with more rain possible
by Tuesday.
ARZ050-051-059-OKZ077-160945-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-McCurtain-
Including the cities of De Queen, Nashville, Mineral Springs,
Dierks, Ashdown, Idabel, and Broken Bow
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-3) 85 (+1) 61 86
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+5) 35 (+4) 91 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 4 E 3 E 3 SE 3
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3 SE 5 LGT/VAR S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1610 2130
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5280 6990
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 S 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8050 14910
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52800 104850
Category Day 4 4
Dispersion Very Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 2
Mix Hgt 500 74 77
Stability Class F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ060-061-070>073-160945-
Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-
Including the cities of Hope, Prescott, Texarkana, Stamps,
Lewisville, Bradley, Magnolia, and El Dorado
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-1) 87 (+3) 60 88
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+2) 35 (+3) 91 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind 20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1810 2340
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5920 7670
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 S 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 S 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7240 14040
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53280 99710
Category Day 3 4
Dispersion Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 2
Mix Hgt 500 78 81
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-137-138-160945-
Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-
Marion-Gregg-Harrison-
Including the cities of Clarksville, Bogata, Texarkana,
Mount Vernon, Mount Pleasant, Pittsburg, Daingerfield, Lone Star,
Naples, Omaha, Atlanta, Linden, Hughes Springs, Queen City,
Mineola, Winnsboro, Quitman, Hawkins, Gilmer, Big Sandy,
Jefferson, Longview, and Marshall
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-2) 87 (+2) 62 87
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+4) 35 (+5) 98 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3 E 3 SE 3 S 4
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3 SE 5 LGT/VAR S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1890 2090
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6210 6860
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 S 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 S 15
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 9450 14630
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62100 102900
Category Day 4 4
Dispersion Very Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 2
Mix Hgt 500 78 78
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers. Not as warm. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ136-149>153-160945-
Smith-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-
Including the cities of Tyler, Jacksonville, Rusk, Henderson,
Carthage, Nacogdoches, and Center
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-2) 87 (+1) 62 87
RH % (24h trend) 93 (+9) 33 (+4) 100 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR E 3 LGT/VAR S 4
Wind 20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5 LGT/VAR S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1950 1810
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6390 5950
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 S 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 9750 9050
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63900 71400
Category Day 4 4
Dispersion Very Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 5 1 7 2
Mix Hgt 500 79 76
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs around 80. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower
80s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ165>167-160945-
Angelina-San Augustine-Sabine-
Including the cities of Lufkin, San Augustine, Hemphill,
and Pineland
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-3) 89 (+2) 61 88
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+14) 36 (+7) 100 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 3
Wind 20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5 LGT/VAR SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1860 1660
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6100 5460
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 S 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 9300 8300
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61000 54600
Category Day 4 4
Dispersion Very Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 2
Mix Hgt 500 80 77
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ001>004-012-160945-
Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Bienville-
Including the cities of Shreveport, Bossier City, Minden,
Springhill, Homer, Haynesville, Arcadia, Ringgold, and Gibsland
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-3) 87 (+3) 61 87
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+5) 35 (+3) 94 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind 20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 LGT/VAR S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1910 2200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6260 7200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 S 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7640 11000
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56340 86400
Category Day 3 4
Dispersion Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 2
Mix Hgt 500 80 80
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ005-006-013-014-160945-
Lincoln-Union-Jackson-Ouachita-
Including the cities of Ruston, Farmerville, Bernice, Jonesboro,
and Monroe
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-1) 89 (+4) 61 88
RH % (24h trend) 91 (+4) 34 (+3) 92 38
Wind 20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind 20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1830 2220
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5990 7300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 S 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7320 11100
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47920 73000
Category Day 3 4
Dispersion Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 2
Mix Hgt 500 80 81
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ010-011-017-018-160945-
De Soto-Red River-Sabine-Natchitoches-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Stonewall, Logansport,
Coushatta, Martin, Many, Zwolle, Pleasant Hill, and Natchitoches
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-4) 89 (+3) 61 89
RH % (24h trend) 91 (+9) 31 (+2) 100 37
Wind 20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 3
Wind 20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SE 4 LGT/VAR S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1950 2050
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6390 6720
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 S 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 9750 10250
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63900 67200
Category Day 4 4
Dispersion Very Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 7
Max LVORI Late 5 1 7 1
Mix Hgt 500 81 79
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs around 80. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ019>022-160945-
Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-
Including the cities of Winnfield, Colfax, Montgomery, Dry Prong,
Clarks, Grayson, Columbia, Jena, Midway, and Olla
303 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-1) 89 (+3) 62 89
RH % (24h trend) 91 (+9) 33 (+2) 98 37
Wind 20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind 20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 LGT/VAR SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1850 2120
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6060 6940
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 S 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7400 10600
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48480 69400
Category Day 3 4
Dispersion Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 6 3 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Mix Hgt 500 81 80
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$