Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
117
FNUS54 KSHV 172043
FWFSHV
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Arkansas...
Northwest Louisiana...East Texas...and Extreme Southeast Oklahoma
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Summer is about to take a longer vacation than we have seen so far
this fall. Along with that a severe weather threat on Saturday
with more heat and the most Gulf humidity of late. We could run
the gamete on wind damage, some hail and even isolated tornadic
activity in discrete supercells or the cold frontal squall line
that could potentially unfold if the late day push wins out.
For now, most short range models look a some clouds and light
rain showers early to keep heating from getting to out of check
again. However, a warm start and potential compressional heating
with SW winds ahead of the front could bring more 90s widespread
and a bumpier late day and early evening. At any rate, needed
rainfall of an inch plus will be much appreciated areawide.
ARZ050-051-059-OKZ077-180915-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-McCurtain-
Including the cities of De Queen, Nashville, Mineral Springs,
Dierks, Ashdown, Idabel, and Broken Bow
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 40 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+5) 83 (-2) 49 71
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+10) 68 (+21) 98 29
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5 S 7 W 5 N 7 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5 SW 9 NW 7 G18 N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.40 0.17 0.00
Precip Duration 5 2
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 760 1350
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2490 4420
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 N 9
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 6080 5400
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44820 39780
Category Day 3 3
Dispersion Good Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 9 4
Max LVORI Late 8 4 9 2
Mix Hgt 500 74 59
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ060-061-070>073-180915-
Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-
Including the cities of Hope, Prescott, Texarkana, Stamps,
Lewisville, Bradley, Magnolia, and El Dorado
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 70 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+2) 86 (-1) 52 72
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+9) 54 (+10) 100 32
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3 S 5 W 4 N 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3 SW 7 W 4 N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.27 0.40 0.00
Precip Duration 2 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1200 1370
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3930 4500
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 N 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 9600 6850
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66810 54000
Category Day 4 3
Dispersion Very Good Good
Max LVORI Early 4 7 9 7
Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 1
Mix Hgt 500 75 64
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-137-138-180915-
Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-
Marion-Gregg-Harrison-
Including the cities of Clarksville, Bogata, Texarkana,
Mount Vernon, Mount Pleasant, Pittsburg, Daingerfield, Lone Star,
Naples, Omaha, Atlanta, Linden, Hughes Springs, Queen City,
Mineola, Winnsboro, Quitman, Hawkins, Gilmer, Big Sandy,
Jefferson, Longview, and Marshall
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 50 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+4) 85 (-3) 53 74
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+5) 63 (+16) 99 32
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5 S 8 W 5 N 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6 SW 9 G17 NW 6 N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.28 0.19 0.00
Precip Duration 4 2
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 950 1250
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3110 4100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 N 10
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 6650 6250
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49760 41000
Category Day 3 3
Dispersion Good Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 9 5
Max LVORI Late 7 3 9 2
Mix Hgt 500 75 64
Stability Class F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ136-149>153-180915-
Smith-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-
Including the cities of Tyler, Jacksonville, Rusk, Henderson,
Carthage, Nacogdoches, and Center
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 60 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+2) 87 (-1) 56 75
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 58 (+8) 100 32
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5 S 7 SW 5 N 9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5 SW 9 G17 NW 4 N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.34 0.30 0.00
Precip Duration 4 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1090 1170
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3580 3840
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 N 12
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7630 5850
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53700 46080
Category Day 3 3
Dispersion Good Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 9 7
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 1
Mix Hgt 500 75 67
Stability Class F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ165>167-180915-
Angelina-San Augustine-Sabine-
Including the cities of Lufkin, San Augustine, Hemphill,
and Pineland
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 60 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+1) 89 (-1) 59 78
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 57 (+7) 100 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 4 SE 5 SW 4 N 8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3 S 7 W 3 N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.61 0.00
Precip Duration 4 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1150 1210
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3770 3990
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 6 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 N 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 6900 7260
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52780 51870
Category Day 3 3
Dispersion Good Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 1
Mix Hgt 500 77 73
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ001>004-012-180915-
Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Bienville-
Including the cities of Shreveport, Bossier City, Minden,
Springhill, Homer, Haynesville, Arcadia, Ringgold, and Gibsland
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 80 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+2) 87 (-1) 56 73
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+9) 55 (+11) 100 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 4 S 6 W 5 N 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4 S 8 W 5 N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.24 0.44 0.00
Precip Duration 2 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1230 1320
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4040 4340
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 N 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8610 7920
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60600 56420
Category Day 4 3
Dispersion Very Good Good
Max LVORI Early 4 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 7 3 9 1
Mix Hgt 500 75 68
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ005-006-013-014-180915-
Lincoln-Union-Jackson-Ouachita-
Including the cities of Ruston, Farmerville, Bernice, Jonesboro,
and Monroe
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 80 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+1) 89 (0) 58 74
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+9) 49 (+11) 100 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 4 S 6 SW 6 NW 9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5 S 9 W 5 N 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1420 1460
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4660 4780
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 6 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 N 13
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8520 8760
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65240 62140
Category Day 4 4
Dispersion Very Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 1
Mix Hgt 500 76 70
Stability Class F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ010-011-017-018-180915-
De Soto-Red River-Sabine-Natchitoches-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Stonewall, Logansport,
Coushatta, Martin, Many, Zwolle, Pleasant Hill, and Natchitoches
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 70 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+1) 90 (+1) 59 76
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+4) 49 (+10) 100 33
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 4 S 5 SW 5 N 7 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3 S 8 W 4 N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.21 0.70 0.00
Precip Duration 2 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1260 1310
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4140 4280
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 N 14
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8820 7860
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62100 59920
Category Day 4 3
Dispersion Very Good Good
Max LVORI Early 4 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 1
Mix Hgt 500 76 71
Stability Class F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
LAZ019>022-180915-
Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-
Including the cities of Winnfield, Colfax, Montgomery, Dry Prong,
Clarks, Grayson, Columbia, Jena, Midway, and Olla
343 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Showers Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 80 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+1) 89 (-1) 62 76
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+8) 49 (+12) 100 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5 S 5 SW 6 NW 8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4 S 8 W 5 N 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.00
Precip Duration 10
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1440 1430
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4730 4690
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 6 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 N 14
Vent Rate (m/s-m) 8640 8580
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66220 65660
Category Day 4 4
Dispersion Very Good Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 9 8 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Mix Hgt 500 76 74
Stability Class F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$