566
FXUS64 KSHV 121200
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
700 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

 - Continued stretch of warm, dry, and mostly sunny weather
   through much of the upcoming week as ridging remains in place

 - Some hope for change arrives late this week and into next
   weekend, although it is still early to have much confidence

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

(Ctrl+V) If you feel like you`ve heard this forecast before,
honestly you`re not wrong. Go ahead and check your clipboard, or
look at the previous discussion, because we`ve basically hit the
"copy and paste"button on the forecast for the week. Sunday will
remain on theme, with afternoon highs comfortably parked in the
upper 80s to near 90 degrees across most of the region. A few of
our metro spots may even tiptoe just above 90 before the day is
done. This steady and predictable pattern will continue well into
the week ahead, as a sturdy ridge overhead keeps the skies dry and
the sun mostly in charge. Each day`s highs will hover in that same
upper-80s to low-90s range, and rain chances will remain virtually
nonexistent.

However, by late week and into next weekend, our long-range
guidance, hints that the ridge may loosen its grip some across our
region. Fairly rare for the GFS and ECMWF to agree on something
this far out, but nonetheless, we might have something to hope for
by next weekend. This is thanks to a developing trough over the
central U.S. that could start to shift the pattern. If this
happens, it could possibly allow some moisture and rain chances to
sneak back into the forecast. We are still about a week out, so
timing and moisture availability will remain in question but at
least there is a little something showing up on the forecast for
those tired of this "Groundhog Day" stretch of sunny, warm, and
dry weather. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 655 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

For the 12/12z TAF period...VFR conditions will remain, with
clouds streaming across the region during the TAF period. Winds
will become ESE/SE around 5-10 mph during the period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  90  63  90  64 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  87  57  88  58 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  86  58  87  60 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  90  61  91  61 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  86  57  88  56 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  89  63  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  89  60  88  60 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  90  60  89  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...20