865
FXUS64 KSHV 222050
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
250 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 248 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

A very gradual warm-up is on the way to the Four State region
through the rest of the week. This is due to the broad, dense
ridge axis--responsible for the coldest temperatures of the season
--shifting further across the eastern US. This will maintain
 southerly winds across the area, slowly boosting temperature
 maximums and minimums closer to seasonal normals (maximums in the
 lower 50s/minimums in the lower 30s). Conditions will remain very dry
 and precipitation-free with dew points barely into the 20s. /16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 248 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Precipitation chances will return to the Four State region by the
end of the weekend into next week in the form of liquid showers
and thunderstorms from a more active weather pattern. This is due
to the influence of large-scale divergence upstream as troughing
becomes cut-off over the Intermountain West by Sunday, placing
Texas (and this area) in the path of multiple disturbances ejected
in quasi-zonal to southwesterly flow. This storm activity and its
associated cloud cover will moderate temperatures near to just
above seasonable normals into early next week (maximums in the
upper 50s/minimums in the upper 30s), however, it will also keep
wet conditions going into the middle of next week with Day 1-7
QPF totals above 2 inches across most of the Ark-La-Tex. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the 22/18Z TAF period. SKC
will prevail through much of the afternoon across SW AR/N LA,
although cirrus cigs will increase from the W across E TX this
afternoon, and across much of the rest of the region this evening.
These cigs should persist through the remainder of the TAF period,
before gradually diminishing/thinning across E TX by mid/late
morning, and across the remainder of the area Thursday afternoon.
S winds 7-11kts, with gusts to 25kts across portions of E TX/SE
OK, will quickly diminish and become Lt/Vrb or Lt SW after 00Z.
/15/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 248 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  27  52  27  51 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  23  50  26  49 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  21  48  19  48 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  25  51  24  50 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  22  50  22  48 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  27  51  26  51 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  25  52  24  52 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  25  52  26  53 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...15