Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
946
FNUS73 KSGF 272344
FWSSGF
Spot Forecast for Carmen S2...USFS
National Weather Service Springfield MO
544 PM CST Thu Feb 27 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
A warm and dry air mass will be in place across the area as highs
warm into the lower 70s and minimum humidity values drop to around
20% Friday afternoon maybe dropping into the upper teens if deep
enough mixing occurs.
West-southwesterly winds of 15 to 20mph with gusts up to 25 to 30mph
will occur at times from the late morning into the afternoon hours. Winds
will gradually start weakening late Friday afternoon but will remain
gusty into the evening hours.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 30
mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...488-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 33 mph decreasing to around 20 mph
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West 11 to 15 meters/second decreasing to
around 9 meters/second late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (133700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon decreasing to fair (27200 knot-ft)
late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1 3 2 1 2 2 1 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............59 64 68 71 72 72 72 70
RH..............37 30 26 23 22 22 22 24
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..14 16 17 18 17 18 16 13
20 FT wind gust.28 29 29 30 30 30 29 24
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.7 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.8 4.4 1.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.3 0.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.25 28 30 31 33 32 29 20
Trans wind dir..W W W W W W W W
Trans spd (m/s).11 13 13 14 15 14 13 9
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..42 65 92 111 133 134 110 27
Ventrate Cat....FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD PR
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
5 to 6 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-213 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 14 mph shifting to the north 12 to
14 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 5 to 6 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3 3 3 2 2 4 9 16 20 24 26 28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............67 61 58 56 54 54 52 50 49 44 42 40
RH..............28 36 40 43 45 45 44 46 48 55 57 62
20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
20 FT wind spd..10 9 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.20 20 17 16 16 16 16 17 16 16 16 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W W W NW NW N NW N N N N N
Transp wind spd.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 12
Trans wind dir..W W W NW NW N NW N N N N N
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 4 4
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the late morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 5 to 8 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (59600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30 26 23 19 19 20 20 20 21 21 24 26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............39 40 42 44 46 48 50 51 52 52 51 49
RH..............67 67 62 58 53 47 42 39 38 36 36 39
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N NW NW N N
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT wind gust.15 16 17 18 20 20 20 20 20 18 17 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.1 3.1 1.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.6
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.12 14 16 17 17 17 16 16 16 15 13 12
Trans wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N
Trans spd (m/s).5 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 5
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 16 26 36 44 50 51 57 60 53 35 19
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...Wise
Requested by...Jess Register
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2504287.0/SGF
.DELDT 02/27/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jess.register@usda.gov