572
FXUS63 KSGF 092324
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
524 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy drizzle and fog will remain possible for some locations
  this afternoon and evening mainly for portions of south
  central Missouri.

- Seasonably warm and pleasant weather next week with chances
  (20-30%) for scattered showers and maybe a few thunderstorms
  Tuesday night and Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 200 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

An area of surface low pressure is located across central
Nebraska this afternoon. The showers associated with this
system have for the most part pushed east of the area. A few
light showers will remain possible late this afternoon east of
Highway 63 but coverage will be limited across the area.

A low level stratus cloud deck is also over much of the area
ahead of the surface low this afternoon. This cloud deck is
slowly clearing from west to east and the clearing line has
pushed to the I-49 corridor as of 2PM. Under the cloud deck some
patchy drizzle and fog are occurring in spots. Visibilities
could be reduced to less than one mile at times for some
locations mainly south of I-44 and east of Highway 65 the rest
of this afternoon into this evening. Widespread dense
fog is not expected. The surface low will slowly move east into
and across Iowa this evening into into Sunday morning. The
clouds will continue to slowly clear from west to east this
afternoon and evening though some low clouds could linger
across portions of south central Missouri into tonight. As the
clouds clear any pockets of drizzle and fog will dissipate.
Highs this afternoon will range from the middle 50s across south
central Missouri will clouds will remain in place into this
evening if not tonight, to the middle 60s across southeastern
Kansas and far southwestern Missouri where clouds are clearing.
Lows tonight cool into the middle to upper 40s across much of
the area. Where clouds linger longer across portions of south
central Missouri lows may only cool into the middle 50s
tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 200 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

The area of surface low pressure will move northeast into the
Great Lakes region by Sunday afternoon. Mostly sunny skies and
light westerly winds will occur across the area Sunday, as highs
warm into the middle to upper 60s. Sunny skies and light
northwesterly winds will occur on Monday as highs again warm
into the middle to upper 60s.

An upper level trough then moves onto the west Coast Monday
night. Ahead of the trough an upper level ridge will move over
the central U.S. on Tuesday allowing highs to warm into the
middle 60s to the lower 70s.

The trough will then move east into the Plains on Tuesday night
and then across the region on Wednesday. Moisture return will be
limited ahead of this system, but some scattered showers will be
possible with the passage of the trough Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Overall instability will be limited but there may be
just enough instability for a few rumbles of thunder. Rainfall
amounts will be light and all locations will likely not see much
rainfall with this system.

An upper level ridge will then move east towards and into the
region late this week with a warming trend Thursday into next
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 518 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

IFR/LIFR ceilings will persist for the next few hours with low
stratus lingering around southern MO. Visibilities have been the
lowest over BBG at 1/4 SM. Though, conditions will improve and clouds
will continue to clear west to east this evening and overnight
bringing VFR conditions by Sunday morning. Expect westerly winds
through Sunday.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Soria