233
FXUS63 KSGF 201748
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1248 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Precipitation chances increase from west to east Saturday night
  into Sunday...with periodic chances into the work week.

- Unseasonably cool through midweek followed by a slow warming
  trend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 308 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

Moisture begins to build back in today as 500mb low pressure
moves overhead. Clouds will keep high temperatures in the low
to mid 80s today. Rain returns this evening with low end
chances (20%) occurring mostly west of Highway 65 as a weak mid-
level shortwave moves through the area. SPC has that area under
a General Thunder risk for today. Rain becomes more probable
overnight (20-30%) as another weak disturbance moves through.
With clouds and rain expected overnight, low temperatures will
be a bit warmer in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 308 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

Rain chances continue through Sunday and will push east
throughout the day. Highest chances for rain are for areas
mainly west of Highway 65 (50-60%). Multiple shortwaves will
traverse around the base of the trough leading to an active
start to next week. Rain chances are between 30-50% Sunday
through Wednesday with the highest chances of rain occurring in
the afternoon hours with brief breaks in precipitation
throughout each day. By Thursday, rain chances begin to trend
downward (15-20%) as the low tries to close off and push
towards the northeast. High/low temperatures still remain a few
degrees below normal through mid- week. Then, expect
temperatures near average to end the week with highs in the
upper 80s and lows in the upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

A few low to middle level clouds were developing across the
region with VFR flight conditions expected through this evening.
Showers in eastern Kansas associated with a subtle upper level
feature will move towards the Ozarks region overnight and bring
low end chances for showers or an isolated storm to move over
the regions terminals.

The main impacts from the system overnight will be developing
middle to high ceilings across the region. Increasing near
surface moisture will also allow for limited impacts to
visibilities with 6sm forecast for the KJLN and KBBG terminals
overnight into Sunday morning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Hatch