


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
829 FXUS66 KSEW 180943 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 243 AM PDT Mon Aug 18 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Cooler conditions with cloudy skies and periods of showers along the coast will continue through the middle of the week as troughing continues offshore. A warmer and drier pattern will develop later in the week as high pressure builds over the southwestern US. && .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...Offshore troughing will keep the area cooler and cloudy through the middle of the week, with a decaying frontal system likely to provide light showers (0.01 to 0.02 inches) along the northern coast today. The core of this trough will move inland on Wednesday for zonal flow in its wake. This will mean continued onshore flow and marine stratus in the morning for western Washington, breaking up in the afternoon for pleasant conditions. Highs are expected to be in the 70s and 60s along the coast through Wednesday. .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...Almost simultaneously, a cutoff low develops in the Gulf of Alaska while a Four Corners high pressure system amplifies into the northwest. The influence of the high will win out, as temperatures warm and conditions dry late in the week into early next weekend. Temperatures will be on the way up on Thursday, reaching the mid to upper 80s by Saturday. This corresponds to Moderate HeatRisk (orange) for most of the area, and conditions will be monitored for any changes to the temperature forecast. 21 && .AVIATION...Upper level trough offshore with southwesterly flow aloft through Tuesday. Light flow in the lower levels. VFR conditions into Tuesday with patchy IFR ceilings and visibility along the coast 12z-16z. KSEA...VFR through Tuesday. Stratus deck around 6000 feet scattered to broken this morning. Just high clouds this afternoon and tonight. Light and variable wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 knots by 18z. Westerly wind 21z-05z with the wind returning to southerly after 05z. && .MARINE...Weak high pressure over the waters through Tuesday will strengthen Tuesday night into Wednesday and remain over the waters through Friday. A weakening system will try and move through the high tonight dissipating over the coastal waters Tuesday. No headlines the next few days. Diurnal westerly pushes through the Strait of Juan de Fuca each evening Tuesday through Friday but winds forecast to stay below 20 knots. Felton && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...None. && $$