


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
249 FXUS66 KSEW 041004 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 304 AM PDT Fri Apr 4 2025 .SYNOPSIS...High pressure will build into the region through the remainder of the week, allowing conditions to dry out and warm up. Wet and cooler conditions are on track to return towards the end of the weekend and continue through mid-week as troughing settles into the Pacific Northwest. && .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...With dry northerly flow aloft, temperatures will continue to dip early this morning into the 30s across the lowlands. Patchy fog alongside areas of frost are favored to develop south of the Puget Sound, including Olympia southward across the Chehalis River Valley. A Frost Advisory remains in effect for these areas through the mid morning. High pressure will continue to amplify inland throughout the day today, allowing for mostly sunny skies by the afternoon and temperatures peaking in the mid 60s across the lowlands. High pressure will continue to amplify and shift inland through Saturday, maintaining mild conditions across western Washington. However, incoming cloud cover from an approaching storm system will limit temperatures to the upper 60s to low 70s for most areas Saturday. The next chance for widespread precipitation increases late Saturday night as a front moves inland across the Pacific Northwest. Precipitation will reach the coast by early Sunday morning, filling in eastward throughout the day. Southwest flow aloft will maintain mild temperatures in the 60s across the lowlands with snow levels between 6000-7000 feet on Sunday. .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...A cold front will push inland late Sunday into Monday, maintaining widespread showers as temperatures cool back into the 50s and snow levels lower to 2500-3000 feet. Moist westerly flow is favored to continue through the first half of next week, with periods of breezy winds, persistent rainfall over the lowlands, and periods of accumulating mountain snow. Ensembles show ridging rebounding over the western US towards the end of next week, but a large amount of uncertainty remains over the northwestern extent of the ridge. However, offshore troughing maintains a slight chance of precipitation throughout the extended forecast period. 15 && .AVIATION...North winds aloft as an upper level ridge begins to move eastward towards western Washington. VFR conditions remain across the region early this morning, with winds generally out of the north to northeast. Some fog and patchy IFR cigs are possible later this morning, generally after 15Z in places like OLM, PWT and HQM, but isn`t expected to last much longer than 18Z. However, temperatures in these locations may be cold enough for some frost. Elsewhere, expect northerly winds and VFR cigs throughout the TAF period. KSEA...VFR conditions remain at the terminal early this morning and likely through the rest of the TAF period , with northeasterly winds between 7 and 10 kts. Wind speeds will ease to around 5 to 7 kts after 12Z, but remain northerly. After 06Z tonight, winds may become southeasterly. 21 && .MARINE...Broad high pressure over the northeast Pacific will remain in place through Sunday, continuing the period of light winds and seas. The next frontal system will move through the waters on Sunday, bringing a quick round of breezy winds which may require headlines. Additional systems look to traverse the area waters early next week, keeping breezy conditions in the forecast. Combined seas 3 to 5 feet through the rest of the week and into the weekend. Seas will start to gradually build upwards Saturday night into Sunday, reaching 10 to 13 feet Sunday and remaining in the 8 to 12 ft range through early next week. 62/21 && .HYDROLOGY...No river flooding is expected over the next 7 days. && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Frost Advisory until 9 AM PDT this morning for Lowlands of Lewis and Southern Thurston Counties-Middle Chehalis River Valley- Olympia and Southern Puget Sound. PZ...None. && $$