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AGUS76 KRSA 062035
HMDRSA

Hydrometeorological Discussion
National Weather Service / California Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA
1230 PM PST Wed Nov 6 2024

...DRY CONDITIONS THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SITS
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC...
...POTENTIAL FOR PRECIP OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

.METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (SHORT TERM: WED PM - SAT AM)...

Forecast remains on track in the short term with no changes made to
the afternoon update. Dry conditions expected the rest of the work
week as high pressure over the eastern Pacific shifts into the west
coast. An upper low continues to churn over the Four Corners and
will begin to shift eastward towards TX on Friday. Any precip from
the low is anticipated to remain out of the region only keeping
temperatures below normal across s/e CA and NV through tomorrow. As
the low gets further away, expect near to above normal temperatures
to spread across the region Friday as the low loses influence.


.METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (LONG TERM: SAT AM - TUE AM)...

Little to no change to the afternoon QPF as multiple waves are
forecast to increase precipitation potential across the northern to
central portions of the forecast area over the weekend and into next
week. The second system that is forecast move onshore early monday
continues to produce higher precipitation totals compared to the
first wave over the weekend. Overall, precipitation accumulations
range from 3.43 inches over the Smith Basin, 2.6 over Cape
Mendocino, and 1-1.5 over the Shasta Drainage down the spine of the
Sierra to the I-80 corridor. QPF throughout the 3-day window mostly
followed guidance from the NBM and WPC, decreasing by approximately
a tenth of an inch across northern California. Precipitation is
forecast to begin diminishing on Tuesday.


QPF graphics are available at www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/qpf.php



AS/CH

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