310
FNUS71 KRNK 191047
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Back Creek Wildfire...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
547 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0630 EST on November 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Cloud cover will decrease somewhat through the day with RH
staying elevated after wetting rains Tuesday evening. 20 foot
and mixing winds stay light today. Low level clouds develop
tonight with RH recovering to 100 percent. Thursday should
have a little more clouds than today with RH again remaining
elevated at the burn site. Another wetting rain arrives
Friday into Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 1 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (14400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 18.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  62  52  50  52  47  53  61  58  52  57  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  41  42  46  48  51  53  54  55  55  55  54
RH..............95  100 99  90  85  80  77  74  73  73  75  76
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.                    1   1           6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.0 2.8 1.7 1.1
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Mixng wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   3   5   6   5   3   2   1
LVORI...........9   9   9   6   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   4
ADI.............4   4   3   3   5   9   14  18  16  13  5   2
VRate mph-ft/1K.3   3   3   3   4   7   12  17  15  10  4   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog late
                    in the evening. Patchy fog after 3 am.
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 1 to 2 mph shifting to the south 3 to
                    6 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................0 to 3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........52           76           96
Weather cov.....             PATCHY
Weather type....NONE         FOG          NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0            0            0
Temp............51           45           43
RH..............85           93           96
20 FT wind......N 1G6        N 0G4        N 0G2
Mix hgt (ft)....900          1200         1200
Mixing wind......W 1          S 5          S 6
LVORI...........6            6            8
ADI.............0            2            2
VRate mph-ft/1K.1            5            6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 3 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................6 to 8.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  89  89  91  92  92  93  93  86  79  72  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  41  42  44  48  50  52  53  54  55  55  54
RH..............95  99  100 95  86  81  76  73  71  70  71  74
20 FT wind dir..N   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..0   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   4   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.5
Mixng wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Mixng wind spd..5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5
LVORI...........6   8   8   7   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............7   7   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
VRate mph-ft/1K.6   5   5   5   4   5   6   7   6   6   6   7

$$
Forecaster...Perry
Requested by...Marcus Sewell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526163.1/RNK
.DELDT 11/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Marcus.sewell@usda.gov