547
FNUS71 KRNK 161015
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Beard Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
615 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

At the spot location expect mostly clear conditions today. Winds look
to be near 5 mph out of the north today gusting near 10-12 mph with
minimum RH values around 28 percent. Tonight should be mostly clear
as well with light north to calm winds. For Friday, conditions should
start out mostly clear then become partly cloudy by the afternoon and
evening. Winds look to be light out of the north to northwest in the
morning and shift to be light southwest to south by the afternoon.
Minimum RH values could again be in the upper 20s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 2 to 7 mph shifting to the north 12
                    to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (56900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 76 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........2   2   0   2   2   3   6   6   5   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  44  47  54  60  65  68  70  70  71  69
RH..............84  80  75  57  44  36  31  29  29  28  29
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.8 5.1 5.0 4.1
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Mixng wind spd..2   3   7   12  15  15  14  13  13  13  13
LVORI...........5   5   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   4   11  28  47  62  69  71  75  76  62
VRate mph-ft/1K.1   2   9   22  38  51  58  61  65  65  52

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 3 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 to 24.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........1   4   5   5   7   4   5   7   6   5   6   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  61  54  51  49  48  47  45  43  41  40  38
RH..............34  38  50  56  60  63  67  70  75  79  81  87
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.11  12  11  10  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mixng wind dir..N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..10  8   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   6
ADI.............24  4   3   2   2   2   1   1   2   2   2   2
VRate mph-ft/1K.19  6   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy frost early in the
                    morning.
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 2 to 3 mph decreasing to around 1 mph
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the west
                    1 to 5 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 16.

TIME (EDT)      2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........5   4   2   1   2   2   6   11  15  17  19  21
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  36  36  41  48  57  62  66  69  71  72  71
RH..............87  89  91  85  67  49  40  34  31  29  29  31
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  N   N   NE  N   W   SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   4   2   2   4   4   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.8
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2   3   5
LVORI...........6   6   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   5   10  14  16
VRate mph-ft/1K.2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   4   8   11  13

$$
Forecaster...Baker
Requested by...VICC Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523610.3/RNK
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vavic@firenet.gov