327
FNUS71 KRNK 211158
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Little Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
658 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Persistent upslope snow showers across the mountains of southwest
Virginia tapering to flurries towards the Blue Ridge. Gusty
northwest winds and cold wind chills are also expected through
the end of the week. Wind gusts may reach up to 45 mph along the
ridges.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and snow showers in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 12 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West around 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (141600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................103.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers.
CWR (0.01 in).......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 13 mph with gusts to around 23
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West around 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (38100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to fair (13300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................30.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers in the morning, then chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......30 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (86000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................79.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Gruver
Requested by...Joshua Orr
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426820.3/RNK
.DELDT 11/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vavic@firenet.gov