151
FNUS71 KRNK 071039
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Glen Wilton...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
539 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EST on November 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather expected for the most part but humidity levels stay
elevated through Friday morning. An isolated shower or storm cannot
be ruled out this afternoon. Winds stay light and mainly from the
west, with local terrain upslope wind also possible when the sun
comes out.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 3 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (16400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 22.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........66     59     63     56     38
Weather cov.....PATCHY               S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............10     10     10     20     20
Temp............62     69     73     75     74
RH..............88     75     70     65     63
20 ft wind......NW 3   W 3    W 4    W 3    NW 4
20 ft wind gust.4      5      6      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1500   2200   2800   2300
Mixing wind......NW 3   NW 6   W 7    W 7    NW 6
LVORI...........6      4      3      3      2
ADI.............3      11     14     21     17
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3
VRate mph-ft/1K.2      9      15     19     13

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy (35-60 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 5 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 4.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........37     42     54     53     52     51
Weather cov.....                     PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10
Temp............69     66     63     61     59     58
RH..............74     82     87     91     94     92
20 ft wind......NW 4   NW 4   N 2    NW 2   NW 3   NW 3
20 ft wind gust.6      5      4      4      4      4
Mix hgt (ft)....700    600    600    500    600    600
Mixing wind......NW 6   NW 6   NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   NW 6
LVORI...........3      5      6      7      6      6
ADI.............3      4      2      2      2      3
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1K.4      3      3      2      3      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (48600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 67 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........44     23     24     15     18     15
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............56     56     63     71     74     71
RH..............97     95     72     46     36     36
20 ft wind......W 3    NW 2   NW 3   NW 4   NW 5   NW 6
20 ft wind gust.5      6      10     10     12     14
Mix hgt (ft)....700    900    1900   3300   3600   2800
Mixing wind......NW 7   NW 7   NW 9   NW 13  NW 14  NW 14
LVORI...........6      6      3      1      1      1
ADI.............7      9      23     51     63     48
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1K.4      7      18     42     52     39

$$
Forecaster...Perry
Requested by...Adam Christie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426010.0/RNK
.DELDT 11/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.christie@usfa.gov