Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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846
FNUS71 KRNK 260818
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Fore Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
418 AM EDT Sat Apr 26 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

At the spot location, the chance for showers and possibly a
thunderstorm will continue through this morning and into early
afternoon. Additional rainfall amounts could be in the tenth
to quarter of an inch range. The chance for precipitation
should largely diminish by 3 PM this afternoon and some cloud
coverage could scatter. Winds look to initially be SW near 10
mph gusting to 20 mph then by late morning into the afternoon
increasing to 11-14 mph out of the west and gusting up to 28 mph.

Sunday should be dry and mostly sunny with northwest winds near
10 mph gusting up to 23 mph in the morning and then decrease
for the afternoon. Minimum RH values could reach the low 20s.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely.
CWR (0.01 in).......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 8 mph with gusts to
                    around 17 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................10.

TIME (EDT)      5 AM
Sky (%).........88
Weather cov.....LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60
Temp............61
RH..............86
20 ft wind......SW 8
20 ft wind gust.17
Mix hgt (ft)....800
Mixing wind......SW 12
LVORI...........4
ADI.............10
VRate mph-ft/1K.9

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Showers in the
                    morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the
                    day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......80 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 10 mph increasing to 11 to 14
                    mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 28 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to west 20 to
                    28 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (97400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (96800
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 early in the morning increasing to 112 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  91  88  73  41  37  37  27  30  28  21  18
Weather cov.....DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............80  60  60  40  40  40  40  20  20  20  10  0
Temp............61  60  61  61  63  65  67  68  69  71  69  68
RH..............89  90  89  89  81  75  68  62  59  53  52  51
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  10  10  10  11  11  11  12  14
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  19  18  18  19  19  18  20  20  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.6 4.4 4.0
Mixng wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..12  10  12  15  20  24  26  28  28  28  28  28
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............10  12  15  27  55  73  91  99  104 112 109 103
VRate mph-ft/1K.8   9   11  26  47  66  92  104 112 130 123 111

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 24 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 17 to 26 mph decreasing to 12 to 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (83400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (8100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................94 early in the evening decreasing to 10 late
                    in the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  25  28  18  16  15  24  24  19  32  21  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  61  58  57  54  52  51  49  47  45  44  42
RH..............51  59  59  61  61  62  62  64  65  66  66  66
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  16  15  14  13  12  12  11  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust.23  24  24  23  22  21  20  19  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..26  25  24  23  21  20  17  15  14  13  12  12
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
ADI.............94  34  32  31  24  18  20  14  12  11  10  10
VRate mph-ft/1K.96  76  58  47  32  23  24  19  15  11  9   9

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (43400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 61 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  27  25  23  21  16  14  15  16  15  14  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  41  44  47  50  54  58  59  61  63  64  64
RH..............67  67  57  53  44  37  31  30  27  25  23  24
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..11  11  11  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  17  16  14  14  13  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.4
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..13  14  15  16  16  16  15  14  13  12  10  9
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............11  11  28  38  45  55  60  61  59  56  52  48
VRate mph-ft/1K.9   11  22  31  39  44  49  50  49  47  44  40

$$
Forecaster...Baker
Requested by...Adam Christie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511563.2/RNK
.DELDT 04/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Adam.christie@usda.gov